Ryan WilsonAug 10, 2026
An unsigned CBS Sports analysis argues Jaxson Dart is the best bet among 2025 rookie quarterbacks to make a Year 2 leap, projecting roughly 4,050 yards, 31 TDs and 12 INTs, with Tyler Shough also poised for a strong second season (about 4,100 yards, 28 TDs, 12 INTs), while Shedeur Sanders is likely to open 2026 as Cleveland's starter.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Ryan Wilson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIf there's one quarterback I'd bet on to make a Year 2 leap, it's Dart.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Have Giants, Saints finally found franchise QBs? History points to Year 2 leaps for Jaxson Dart, Tyler Shough
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart“Sanders belongs because he could very well open 2026 as Cleveland's starter.”
- 2Jaxson Dart to record 26–34 passing tds“Touchdowns 31 26–34”
- 3Tyler Shough to record 23–31 passing tds“Touchdowns 28 23–31”
- 4Jaxson Dart to record 9–15 passing interceptions“Interceptions 12 9–15”
- 5Jaxson Dart to record 3,600–4,500 passing yards“Dart's projected Year 2 range ... Passing yards 4,050 3,600–4,500”
- 6Tyler Shough to record 10–15 passing interceptions“Interceptions 12 10–15”
- 7Tyler Shough to record 3,700–4,500 passing yards“Shough's projected Year 2 range ... Passing yards 4,100 3,700–4,500”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaxson Dart to record 26–34 passing tds2 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Shough to record 23–31 passing tds3 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaxson Dart to record 9–15 passing interceptions4 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaxson Dart to record 3,600–4,500 passing yards5 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Shough to record 10–15 passing interceptions6 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Shough to record 3,700–4,500 passing yards7 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 7 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
7 checkable claims — 6 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 6 and below it on 1.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Shedeur Sanders · 2026 season50 calls from 35 pundits between 1 and 2. Ryan Wilson said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Player Season NumbersJaxson DartNew York Giants
Jaxson Dart to record 26–34 passing tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Player Season NumbersTyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough to record 23–31 passing tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Player Season NumbersJaxson DartNew York Giants
Jaxson Dart to record 9–15 passing interceptions
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Player Season NumbersJaxson DartNew York Giants
Jaxson Dart to record 3,600–4,500 passing yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Player Season NumbersTyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough to record 10–15 passing interceptions
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Player Season NumbersTyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough to record 3,700–4,500 passing yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Nick Emmanwori · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.Tim Hasselbeck · Player Season Numbers · Isaiah Likely · Miss 0
Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Matthew Stafford · Miss 0
Nick trusts Josh Allen over the Broncos defense, picks the Bills to win outright in Denver (Bills +1.5 as their lock), picks the Patriots to beat the Texans by more than three, likes the 49ers to keep it close but not win, and predicts the Rams blow out the Bears roughly 42-28 with Stafford throwing about five TDs.