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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,158
Graded
349

30% settled

Average accuracy
27.5

out of 100

Pundits
164

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+253 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

349 / 1,158

graded

809 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025303 of 303 graded
  • 20260 of 809 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

351–375 of 1,158

  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    This division feels like it's going to come down to the Bengals or Ravens, so I flipped a coin. Baltimore wins.

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I see a Broncos' repeat coming.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    The Cowboys have one of the best offenses in the NFL and if their defense can take just a small step forward, they could be a huge threat to win not only the division

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    Los Angeles Rams (-105) ... Podell: "It's rare that "dream teams" actually pan out in the NFL, but the Rams were already the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense in 2025."

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    As long as C.J. Stroud isn't historically awful like he was last postseason, the Texans should be one of the best teams in football.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    Dallas wins the NFC East for the first time since 2023.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    Cincinnati Bengals (+164) Podell: "Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have always been able to light up a scoreboard, but now they finally have a defense that can make those points matter."

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    Love with a consistent group of pass catchers, plus the Micah Parsons-led defense, will be enough to win the NFC North.

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    New England Patriots to win the division

    New England maintains their slight edge over Buffalo.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    the Buccaneers have the most talented roster top to bottom. They return to their perch atop the division in 2026.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    Yep, I'm drinking the Cowboys Kool-Aid this year.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    Getting three-to-one on the Bears to win the division feels like good value compared to the odds offered for the Lions or Packers.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    Combine those two things, and you have the recipe for a division winner.

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    I think the Rams will probably win the division, but getting this price on the Seahawks compared with having to lay the juice for the Rams feels wrong. This is the better bet.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    I don't think any of these teams are very good, so I'm just going with the one I think is the least bad.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    I feel good about them taking the AFC East back.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    The offense will score a ton with Dak Prescott. But it's the defense that will get them the division title.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo Bills (-136) ... Prisco: "They will give this team back to Josh Allen. The aggression will be back."

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    The defense will again push them to win the division.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    Jacksonville Jaguars (+245) Prisco: "They will be better than a year ago, and they have the best QB in the division."

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    Los Angeles Rams (-105) Prisco: "Dream team. Dream team. The talent is there, but it won't be easy in that brutal division."

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    The rest of the division isn't good and Baker Mayfield will be playing with a chip on his shoulder.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — division winners (349 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.