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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,158
Graded
349

30% settled

Average accuracy
27.5

out of 100

Pundits
164

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+253 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

349 / 1,158

graded

809 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025303 of 303 graded
  • 20260 of 809 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

376–400 of 1,158

  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    Green Bay Packers (+240) Prisco: "Young talent, a quarterback in Jordan Love who will be in the MVP mix and Micah Parsons when he returns. That's enough for me."

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    Joe Burrow and the offense will roll up points. But it's the improved defense that will win the division.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    This is it! This is the year Justin Herbert finally wins the AFC West!

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo gave Allen his first legit WR1 since Stefon Diggs, and if Jim Leonhard's defense is even marginally better, that means Allen doesn't have to put the team on his shoulders come January.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    Just average, and this team will make a deep playoff run.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    if New Orleans can weather the early injuries, including Jordyn Tyson's absence, there's enough here to steal a division where 9 wins might be enough to get it done.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    Dak has enough around him to win a wide-open NFC East.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    Houston's defense makes this close, but the Jags get the edge at quarterback, at least heading into the season.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    Everybody seems ready to hand this division back to the Rams, which is probably exactly how the Seahawks prefer it.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    I have the Bills winning the AFC East

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    I have the Texans winning the AFC South

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike FlorioDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    14. Lions (No. 14; 0-0): Falling into a fourth-place schedule gives them the inside track to winning the division.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    The AFC West, I'm just going to ride Denver.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    In the NFC, I've been hammering this for a while... I'm taking the Cowboys.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    But I love the Bengals this year. I love them... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans...

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    I don't like the Saints. I love the Saints... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    The NFC North, who I'd probably pick to be the one seed... In the NFC, I think I'd go Detroit.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    AFC East. I'm just betting on Josh Allen until I'm wrong... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBradley LockerDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo enters the season with the highest division odds (56%) of any team, with a weaker AFC East making the Bills seem like a near-playoff lock for the eighth straight season.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBradley LockerDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    holding a robust 73% chance to claim the AFC North

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingKent SwansonDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    I think I'm going to Bills too.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingKent SwansonDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    yeah, give me give me the give me the Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — division winners (349 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.