A seven-round Jets mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, assigning specific prospects to each of New York's nine picks, and calling Brandon Cisse a likely top-50 selection.

10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 37.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Who this take is about

• Arvell Reese
• New York Jets
• Brandon Cisse
• Fernando Carmona
• Ty Simpson
• Kaelon Black
• Jalon Kilgore
• Trebor Pena
• Jordyn Tyson
• Tyreak Sapp

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

  “Round 1 (No. 2 overall): Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE, Ohio State”

  Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Arvell Reese

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  87.81

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  5

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  87.81

  predicted pick:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksBrandon CisseMar 31, 2026

  Brandon Cisse to be picked “likely top-50 pick” (picks 1–50)

  “Brandon Cisse's draft stock has cooled a bit in recent weeks, but he still seems like a likely top-50 pick.”

  Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Brandon Cisse

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  91.7

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  52

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  91.7

  predicted pick:

  likely top-50 pick (picks 1–50)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksFernando CarmonaNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Fernando Carmona to be picked at number 228

  “Round 7 (No. 228 overall): Fernando Carmona, IOL, Arkansas”

  Miss · 2Scored 2.41 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Fernando Carmona

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  2.41

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  142

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  2.41

  predicted pick:

  228

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksBrandon CisseNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 44

  “Round 2 (No. 44 overall): Brandon Cisse, CB, South Carolina”

  Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Brandon Cisse

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  70.71

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  52

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  70.71

  predicted pick:

  44

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be picked at number 33

  “Round 2 (No. 33 overall): Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama”

  Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  42.04

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  13

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  42.04

  predicted pick:

  33

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksKaelon BlackNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Kaelon Black to be picked at number 179

  “Round 5 (No. 179 overall): Kaelon Black, RB, Indiana”

  Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Kaelon Black

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  2.12

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  90

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  2.12

  predicted pick:

  179

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksJalon KilgoreNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Jalon Kilgore to be picked at number 103

  “Round 4 (No. 103 overall): Jalon Kilgore, SAF, South Carolina”

  Miss · 6Scored 6.25 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Jalon Kilgore

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  6.25

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  167

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  6.25

  predicted pick:

  103

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksTrebor PenaNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Trebor Pena to be picked at number 242

  “Round 7 (No. 242 overall): Trebor Pena, WR, Penn State”

  Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Trebor Pena

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  undrafted

  outcome:

  went undrafted in 2026; later signed with JAX

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  undrafted

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  0

  predicted pick:

  242

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16

  “Round 1 (No. 16 overall): Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State”

  Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Jordyn Tyson

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  70.71

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  8

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  70.71

  predicted pick:

  16

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksTyreak SappNew York JetsMar 31, 2026

  Tyreak Sapp to be picked at number 140

  “Round 4 (No. 140 overall): Tyreak Sapp, EDGE, Florida”

  Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  44.64

  player:

  Tyreak Sapp

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  undrafted

  outcome:

  went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  undrafted

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  0

  predicted pick:

  140

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  94.64

  Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

• Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0
  For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up.
• Patricia TrainaRoster Spot Calls · Arvell ReeseHit · 100
  Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker.
• Jacob WestendorfRoster Spot Calls · Brandon CisseHit · 100
  In his final 53-man roster projection for the Packers, Westendorf names every player he expects to make the initial roster, places Luke Musgrave and Micah Parsons on PUP, projects Anthony Campbell as the final cut headed to the practice squad, and sets out several depth-chart calls (Love over Taylor, Jacobs as the bell cow, Franklin/Cooper starting at linebacker, Cox and Dennis-Sutton as the No. 2 edge tandem in Week 1).
• Bill HuberRoster Spot Calls · Brandon CisseHit · 100
  Ahead of final cuts, Huber assigns Packers players probability tiers for making the 53-man roster, calling 40 players locks and another 12 more likely than not to stick, while projecting Keisean Nixon as a Week 1 starting cornerback, Tyrod Taylor as the backup QB, Skyy Moore as the returner, and Micah Parsons, Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley opening the season on PUP.
• Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Jalon KilgoreHit · 100
  Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
• Joe MarinoRoster Spot Calls · Jalon KilgoreHit · 100
  Joe Marino gives his final projection of the Buffalo Bills' initial 53-man roster after the preseason finale, naming who makes it, who gets cut, and who lands on injured reserve/PUP, along with several starting-job calls (Kyle Allen as QB2, TJ Sanders starting over Landon Jackson, Maxwell Hairston starting opposite Christian Benford, and Tommy Doman winning the punting job).

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

• Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37
  Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
• Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100
  Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
• Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88
  Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
• Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68
  Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
• Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81
  In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
• Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92
  Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.

Discussed alongside these

• Las Vegas Raiders144
• Kansas City Chiefs128
• New Orleans Saints128
• Cleveland Browns122
• New York Giants119
• Miami Dolphins117
• Los Angeles Rams112
• Tennessee Titans109