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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,058
Graded
351

33% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
136

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,058

graded

707 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025305 of 305 graded
  • 20260 of 707 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

176–200 of 1,058

  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    Green Bay Packers (+240) Prisco: "Young talent, a quarterback in Jordan Love who will be in the MVP mix and Micah Parsons when he returns. That's enough for me."

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    The Cowboys have one of the best offenses in the NFL and if their defense can take just a small step forward, they could be a huge threat to win not only the division

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    New Orleans has some promising young players on both sides of the ball, and there is no overwhelming favorite in the division.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    Everybody seems ready to hand this division back to the Rams, which is probably exactly how the Seahawks prefer it.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    This division feels like it's going to come down to the Bengals or Ravens, so I flipped a coin. Baltimore wins.

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    I don't think any of these teams are very good, so I'm just going with the one I think is the least bad.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    I think he leads New Orleans on a worst-to-first run to steal the NFC South.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBryan DeArdoDivision Winners2026 season

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    The Bears were the division's best team last year, and it appears that that is still the case.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    The Patriots had a fun one-year run at the top of the division, but the Bills will be out for blood this year.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    The Minnesota Vikings are definitely an interesting flier at +450, but I'll take the Lions at +175.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    Yep, I'm drinking the Cowboys Kool-Aid this year.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    Detroit has the easiest schedule in the NFL entering 2026 ... that should help them stack up wins in what should be a wildly competitive NFC North.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    The amount of optimism that I have in Cincinnati is beginning to alarm me. ... As it stands, they offer better value.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    With one of the easiest paths in the league, New Orleans can be one of the surprise teams of 2026.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    I think the Texans have the best defense in the AFC ... forget the division title, this team could be a surprise Super Bowl contender.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    There's much more value in taking the reigning Super Bowl champion at +215 or the San Francisco 49ers at +305 and rooting for the downfall of this newly constructed super team.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Minnesota Vikings to win the division

    If Kyler Murray can help Minnesota return to a functional offense, then it is easy to envision a scenario in which that team capitalizes on others within the division already dealing with injuries.

    Minnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo Bills (-136) ... Prisco: "They will give this team back to Josh Allen. The aggression will be back."

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    Joe Burrow and the offense will roll up points. But it's the improved defense that will win the division.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    With a high-flying offense, I think the Lions have enough firepower to take the NFC North.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    New England Patriots to win the division

    Although Buffalo would be my pick to win the division, the gap between them and the Patriots ... is not so large that the value should be ignored.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.