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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,058
Graded
351

33% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
136

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,058

graded

707 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025305 of 305 graded
  • 20260 of 707 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

151–175 of 1,058

  • PendingBryan DeArdoDivision Winners2026 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    Philadelphia Eagles (+122) ... DeArdo: "Starting with the 2021 season, Philadelphia has alternated between first-round playoff losses and Super Bowl appearances."

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    if New Orleans can weather the early injuries, including Jordyn Tyson's absence, there's enough here to steal a division where 9 wins might be enough to get it done.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    New Orleans has some promising young players on both sides of the ball, and there is no overwhelming favorite in the division.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    Detroit has the easiest schedule in the NFL entering 2026 ... that should help them stack up wins in what should be a wildly competitive NFC North.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I see a Broncos' repeat coming.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    Combine those two things, and you have the recipe for a division winner.

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBryan DeArdoDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    Houston is the NFL's only team to win a playoff game each of the past three years. The Texans should be even better this season

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    The rest of the division isn't good and Baker Mayfield will be playing with a chip on his shoulder.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    the Buccaneers have the most talented roster top to bottom. They return to their perch atop the division in 2026.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    Green Bay Packers (+240) Prisco: "Young talent, a quarterback in Jordan Love who will be in the MVP mix and Micah Parsons when he returns. That's enough for me."

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    With a high-flying offense, I think the Lions have enough firepower to take the NFC North.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    so I will hit it down the middle with the defending Super Bowl champions ... Seattle has the experience and will not be threatened by Los Angeles.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    I thought long and hard about the Giants in an upset, but I just couldn't get all the way there. The Eagles have one of the best secondaries in the NFL

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    This is by far the best value on the board among all division futures.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    New England Patriots to win the division

    It'll be neck-and-neck with Buffalo, but the value is on the Patriots repeating as division champs.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    Los Angeles Rams (-105) ... Podell: "It's rare that "dream teams" actually pan out in the NFL, but the Rams were already the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense in 2025."

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    Houston's defense makes this close, but the Jags get the edge at quarterback, at least heading into the season.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    AFC South — Houston Texans (+105) Dajani: "I liked the Houston Texans defense better than the Seattle Seahawks defense last year!"

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    The Patriots had a fun one-year run at the top of the division, but the Bills will be out for blood this year.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    Yep, I'm drinking the Cowboys Kool-Aid this year.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.