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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,058
Graded
351

33% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
136

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,058

graded

707 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025305 of 305 graded
  • 20260 of 707 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

201–225 of 1,058

  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    AFC South — Houston Texans (+105) Dajani: "I liked the Houston Texans defense better than the Seattle Seahawks defense last year!"

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingGarrett PodellDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    Los Angeles Rams (-105) Prisco: "Dream team. Dream team. The talent is there, but it won't be easy in that brutal division."

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingPete PriscoDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo Bills (-136) ... Prisco: "They will give this team back to Josh Allen. The aggression will be back."

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo gave Allen his first legit WR1 since Stefon Diggs, and if Jim Leonhard's defense is even marginally better, that means Allen doesn't have to put the team on his shoulders come January.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJosh EdwardsDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    I have the Texans winning the AFC South

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    I have the Bills winning the AFC East

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike FlorioDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    14. Lions (No. 14; 0-0): Falling into a fourth-place schedule gives them the inside track to winning the division.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    AFC East. I'm just betting on Josh Allen until I'm wrong... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    But I love the Bengals this year. I love them... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    The AFC West, I'm just going to ride Denver.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans...

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    In the NFC, I've been hammering this for a while... I'm taking the Cowboys.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    I don't like the Saints. I love the Saints... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    The NFC North, who I'd probably pick to be the one seed... In the NFC, I think I'd go Detroit.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBradley LockerDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    Buffalo enters the season with the highest division odds (56%) of any team, with a weaker AFC East making the Bills seem like a near-playoff lock for the eighth straight season.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingBradley LockerDivision Winners2026 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    holding a robust 73% chance to claim the AFC North

    Baltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingKent SwansonDivision Winners2026 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    I it's the Rams, and, I mean, they're an absolute wagon

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatty LaneDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I'm also picking the Broncos to win the AFC West.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingKent SwansonDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    I'm going with the Texans as well... yeah, give me the Texans. I think they're an absolute wagon.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatty LaneDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    Easily, my choice here, I have them as the two seed.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatty LaneDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    I also have the cowboys winning. The NFC east

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.