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Dan Patrick#80 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2026

Patrick says Ohio State's Sonny Styles will be a top-ten pick and may have moved even higher after their combine testing. They also argue Fernando Mendoza is the only legitimate first-round quarterback in the class while Ty Simpson will get a surge of pre-draft hype.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
41.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#80Dan Patrick’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Dan Patrick said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
that player is Sonny Styles, who is going to be a top ten pick, but he may have moved up even a little bit higher than that
Dan Patrick, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1 – The NFL Combine Is a Guilty Pleasure, Chet vs. Wemby?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 27
  2. GradedAug 7–14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)“that player is Sonny Styles, who is going to be a top ten pick, but he may have moved up even a little bit higher than that”
  2. 2Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board“get ready for this because there's only one legitimate quarterback, first round quarterback. That's Fernando Mendoza.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)1Mock Draft PicksWent 710050—
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—10033.08+66.92
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10041.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 41.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · positional finish

5 calls from 4 pundits between 1 positional finish and 1 positional finish. Dan Patrick said 1 positional finish. the room's median is 1 positional finish. what happened: 1 positional finish

Dan Patrick — 1 positional finishthe room — 5 calls from 4 punditsmedian 1 positional finishwhat happened — 1 positional finish

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top ten pick (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top ten pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsFernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 33.08
    100this call33.08a naive guess66.92better than naive1difficulty+66.92skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    66.92
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 41.5

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.