Skip to main content

Jeff CavanaughApr 10, 2026

Jeff argues Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson, who is not being discussed as a top-11 pick, has a decent chance of being selected inside the top 11, and they predict the Cowboys as currently constructed would win eight or nine games.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
91.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeff Cavanaugh said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Right now, I'd predict them to win eight or nine games.
Jeff Cavanaugh, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Why The Dallas Cowboys Won’t Trade Up + Fran Duffy Mock Draft Reaction
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 10
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Ty Simpson to be picked “top 11 pick” (picks 1–11)“I have a certain player that we're not really seeing talked about as a top 11 pick that I think there is a pretty decent chance that he will be a top 11 pick. Ty Simpson.”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins“Right now, I'd predict them to win eight or nine games.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ty Simpson to be picked “top 11 pick” (picks 1–11)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1391.750—
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins2Season Win Totals————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting91.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Dallas Cowboys · 2026 season · wins

30 calls from 21 pundits between 3 wins and 14 wins. Jeff Cavanaugh said 8 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet

Jeff Cavanaugh — 8 winsthe room — 30 calls from 21 punditsmedian 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 11 pick (picks 1–11)They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTy Simpson

    Ty Simpson to be picked “top 11 pick” (picks 1–11)

    What happenedWent 13
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    top 11 pick (picks 1–11)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.