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Andrew SantinoSep 17, 2025

Santino, as recounted on the show, predicted in May that the Bears would finish 11-6.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
11What happenedcalled 11
15A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+160.65Skillafter difficulty

What Andrew Santino said

He said the Bears were gonna go eleven and six when he did the win loss game back in May.
Our reading: Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
The episode
Hour 1: NFL Network’s Kurt Warner, Rich’s Top 5 NFL MVP Candidates through Week 2
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 15 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Chicago Bears · 2025 season · wins

11 calls from 8 pundits between 5 wins and 11 wins. Andrew Santino said 11 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 11 wins

Andrew Santino — 11 winsthe room — 11 calls from 8 punditsmedian 9 winswhat happened — 11 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

wins
11They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Season Win TotalsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins

    What happened11called 11
    100Hit · naive 15
    100this call15a naive guess85better than naive1.89difficulty+160.65skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    naive:
    6.75
    skill:
    160.65
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    15
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.