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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
33% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
351 / 1,058
graded
707 still pending
By season
151–175 of 1,058
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
Philadelphia Eagles (+122) ... DeArdo: "Starting with the 2021 season, Philadelphia has alternated between first-round playoff losses and Super Bowl appearances."
New Orleans Saints to win the division
if New Orleans can weather the early injuries, including Jordyn Tyson's absence, there's enough here to steal a division where 9 wins might be enough to get it done.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
New Orleans has some promising young players on both sides of the ball, and there is no overwhelming favorite in the division.
Detroit Lions to win the division
Detroit has the easiest schedule in the NFL entering 2026 ... that should help them stack up wins in what should be a wildly competitive NFC North.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I see a Broncos' repeat coming.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.
Houston Texans to win the division
The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
Combine those two things, and you have the recipe for a division winner.
Houston Texans to win the division
Houston is the NFL's only team to win a playoff game each of the past three years. The Texans should be even better this season
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
The rest of the division isn't good and Baker Mayfield will be playing with a chip on his shoulder.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
the Buccaneers have the most talented roster top to bottom. They return to their perch atop the division in 2026.
Green Bay Packers to win the division
Green Bay Packers (+240) Prisco: "Young talent, a quarterback in Jordan Love who will be in the MVP mix and Micah Parsons when he returns. That's enough for me."
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.
Detroit Lions to win the division
With a high-flying offense, I think the Lions have enough firepower to take the NFC North.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
so I will hit it down the middle with the defending Super Bowl champions ... Seattle has the experience and will not be threatened by Los Angeles.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
I thought long and hard about the Giants in an upset, but I just couldn't get all the way there. The Eagles have one of the best secondaries in the NFL
Denver Broncos to win the division
This is by far the best value on the board among all division futures.
New England Patriots to win the division
It'll be neck-and-neck with Buffalo, but the value is on the Patriots repeating as division champs.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
Los Angeles Rams (-105) ... Podell: "It's rare that "dream teams" actually pan out in the NFL, but the Rams were already the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense in 2025."
Chicago Bears to win the division
There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
Houston's defense makes this close, but the Jags get the edge at quarterback, at least heading into the season.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South — Houston Texans (+105) Dajani: "I liked the Houston Texans defense better than the Seattle Seahawks defense last year!"
Buffalo Bills to win the division
The Patriots had a fun one-year run at the top of the division, but the Bills will be out for blood this year.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Yep, I'm drinking the Cowboys Kool-Aid this year.