John ButchkoApr 16, 2026

In the mock draft, Butchko's Jets took Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at No. 2 and receiver Jordan Tyson at No. 16.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled

85.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What John Butchko said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

the Jets end up walking away with David Bailey and Jordan Tyson

John Butchko, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Locked On Saints (podcast)
The episode: How I Landed A Game-Changing Talent For The Saints In The 2026 Locked On NFL Mock Draft
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 16
GradedOct 1

1Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16“Jordan Tyson went sixteenth overall to the New York Jets.”
2David Bailey to be picked at number 2“New York Jets went with David Bailey, the edge rusher out of Texas Tech.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16¹	Mock Draft Picks	Went 8	70.71	50	+50
David Bailey to be picked at number 2²	Mock Draft Picks	Went 2	100	50	+50
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled			85.4	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 85.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

David Bailey · 2026 season · overall pick

John Butchko — 2 overall pickthe room — 15 calls from 14 punditsmedian 2 overall pickwhat happened — 2 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

16They said

8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Mock Draft Picks Jordyn Tyson New York Jets
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16
What happenedWent 8mocked at 16
70.71Close · naive 50
100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks David Bailey New York Jets
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
What happenedWent 2mocked at 2
100Hit · naive 50
100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
85.4naive 50

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Rodgers · Miss 0
Eisen ranked their top five most impressive Pro Bowl campaigns of the season, topped by Sam Darnold, and predicted that Sunday would be Aaron Rodgers' last game with the Jets.
Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Jordyn Tyson · Hit 100
Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker.
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Simms gave straight-up winners with predicted final scores for every Week 8 game, including upset calls on the Ravens in Buffalo, the Broncos over the Chiefs, the Jets over the Raiders and the Seahawks over the Bears, and they expected Josh Downs to play for the Colts despite their trade request.
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Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Jets · Miss 36
Prisco picks every Week 8 game with a predicted final score, including the Packers beating the Panthers, the Lions handing the undefeated Vikings their first loss, and the Bengals blowing out the Titans.
Nick Faria · Game Outcome Picks · New York Jets · Miss 0
Faria says rookie edge rusher David Bailey, now at five sacks, is on track to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and that Garrett Wilson is headed for a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown season. They also map out a path where the Jets beat the Dolphins and Raiders to reach 4-4 at midseason.

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
Todd McShay · Mock Draft Picks · Keelon Russell · Miss 0
While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.
Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.
Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.
Walt · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft.