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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
960
Graded
284

30% settled

Average accuracy
49.1

out of 100

Pundits
146

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
91 scored 80+98 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

284 / 960

graded

676 still pending

By season

  • 20221 of 2 graded
  • 202333 of 34 graded
  • 20249 of 10 graded
  • 2025241 of 261 graded
  • 20260 of 653 graded

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

901–925 of 960

  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals2025 season

    New York Jets to finish with 6 wins

    I could absolutely see Aaron Glenn getting there, that team finding its way to seven wins. I like the Jets over.

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 25+30 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 5 wins

    It would not shock me to see them struggle to win four or five games. I think they're going to be terrible.

    Miami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins

    So I look at the over under on Tennessee and you know it's five and a half. Some have had it at six and a half. I think they clear that bar easily... and so I Titans to me earn over.

    Tennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 45-50 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    So I think the Niners probably more likely to win nine or ten games.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+110 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 10 wins

    Well this year it's nine and a half... Why couldn't they win twelve games? I mean, they're over under right now is nine and a half. I think they are a lock.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    So New England was one of my overs... This is an eight to nine win team. And again the Jets are a bit lost... So I think New England's in play.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2025 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    Why couldn't they go nine to eight this year?... I could see the Patriots winning eight or nine games.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins

    Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-70 skillsaid Mar 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins

    I think they'll win ten or eleven games.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 12 wins

    I think the Chargers probably win twelve.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 8 wins

    I think they will double their win total, no question.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Jason McIntyreSeason Win Totals2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    guarantee you the Niners have at least two more wins on the win total than Seattle. It'll be like ten versus eight at least.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+110 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins

    that Seahawks schedule is screaming ten to eleven wins

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 5+30 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreSeason Win Totals2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 8 wins

    It'll be like ten versus eight at least.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins

    So do I think they're gonna go fifteen and two or sixteen and one next year? I doubt it. I think they're still going to be a good team, and I think it's still going to be a championship contender in the NFC.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 5+95 skillsaid Jan 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

    But I think because of their own line and running game. I think offensively, they're a double digit win team for the next three to four years.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 5-5 skillsaid Jan 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals2024 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    Mike Vrabel's gonna lead the Patriots to a winning record next year. Let's go. ... to say you're gonna be nine and eight next year

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 55-55 skillsaid Jan 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 9 wins

    With a favorable schedule coming up, Tampa Bay could easily get to nine or more wins this season.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75+6.65 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins

    I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 95+6.95 skillsaid Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • PendingMarcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with ? wins

    With a pretty favorable schedule upcoming, Pittsburgh could easily start the season off with four straight wins.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Close · 40Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins

    look for Josh Allen to find a way to post double-digit wins again

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 35+10 skillsaid Sep 3, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Denver Broncos to finish with 5 wins

    it wouldn't be a surprise if they only win five or so games this year

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 65-130 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins

    the improved offensive line should allow them to hover around 10 wins once again

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →
  • Close · 40Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins

    Expect the Bills to win double-digit games again this season and be a legit contender in the AFC.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 35+10 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →
  • PendingRyan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals2023 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins

    Los Angeles is still well-positioned to start 3-1.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2023the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (307 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.