“Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal... I will just say this is an overreaction.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Sam Darnold... Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Sam Darnold... Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think the Raiders are in play, usc Pete Carroll. If the money is right, I think the Raiders are in play.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“prodigal son returns home to the New York Jets, the place that threw him away like a bag of still lays. I mean it, it could happen.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“But I could see that happening the Las Vegas Raiders if they get somebody, you know, if they if they don't feel like they can get the guy they want to draft, and see them them taking a shot at him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I could see him being a bridge quarterback at some of these places, the Giants being one of them”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I can see him getting MVP in this game. ... I'm going with Sam Darnold, DP.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Sam Darnell's back in the MVP conversation. No. He's not. He's he's gonna be top five.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVPCovino and Rich · for 2025 · said Jan 29, 2026
“Dick Camer's grandson wins the MVP... So I think I think it's a very safe bet to say Sam Donald's your MVP.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Sam Darnold is not getting benched in 2025.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
“Is that Sam Darnold could be replaced as the Seattle quarterback by week one because of all those seven on seven picks he's been throwing. I'm going the other way.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
“Seahawks are gonna have a different starting quarterback next year... Sam Darnold? That that's kinda where I was pegging.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+10.17 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 10.17
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
“My Super Bowl MVP pick is gonna be darnald. But that's such a boring one. It's plus one twenty five... but that that is my pick”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“MVP of this game... No, it's gonna go to Sam Donald Mentell, Sam Darnald the guy”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Sam Donald looked like a stud, a top ten quarterback thanks to Kobiac.”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 100-41.67 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
“Well, I think he's easily a top ten quarterback. And one thing that he's proven that no one would have believed a couple of years ago.”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 100-41.67 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
“But I don't think it's crazy to say that Sam Darnold hoists a trophy. You gotta put him in the top ten.”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 100-41.67 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
Sam Darnold to record 2 passing interceptionsCovino and Rich · for 2025 · said Jan 17, 2026
“Sam Donald, I'm calling it right now. Two picks and he's gonna throw for under two hundred yards.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 29.98-29.98 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 9.1
- skill:
- -29.98
- what happened:
- 14
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 29.98
- predicted:
- 2
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 12
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
“You actually have him at twelve, So vibes are very high for you on Sam Donald.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 58.33+33.25 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 33.25
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 58.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 9
- actual finish:
“Sam Donald looking like first team All Pro two as well and playing on and leading an elite team to this.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
How this was scored
- made:
- no
- naive:
- he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
- skill:
- -161
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- selection:
- all_pro_first_team
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“So I think Darnold would be the one guy that would just get signed and immediately become, you know, kind of not your long term starter, but at least in the immediate next couple of year starter.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
“I wouldn't go into the season without Sam Donald because that's a known commodity, especially within this system.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
“it's more likely he returns to San Francisco to be the backup again”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18