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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,334
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
65.8

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1453 scored 80+718 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,334

graded

1,415 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2733 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321673 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1673 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1001–1025 of 4,334

  • Close · 68Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cashius Howell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Kansas City could be looking at choosing from Keldrick Fauch, TJ Parker, Akeem Messador, Cassius Howell, or Malachi Lawrence. Those are the guys that probably could be going maybe in the first round.

    Cashius Howell

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    so the pick is in we don't know it's, don't know who it is yet, but it's probably ... Jeremiah Love, if I had to guess, if if they are staying.

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    it's not it's not a 100 confirmed that the Las Vegas fans are taking Fernando Mendoza, but it is the highly expected outcome, at one overall

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Lance MooreMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7

    It likely. It better be. It better be. Bobby Wagner is a free agent. They need a line I mean, it I feel like that's gotta be the guy.

    Sonny StylesWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Lance MooreMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    So the Giants are Giants are definitely gonna take Caleb downs at ten.

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7

    Well, the commander's pick is still in... It's got it's gotta be Sonny Styles. Right? I mean, it has to be.

    Sonny StylesWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96JC PearsonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 6

    I don't think that they would have jumped up to six to to take Bane... So I think it's it's gotta be Reese

    Arvell ReeseKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 14

    So who are the Baltimore Ravens going to take at 14? I would be surprised. I won't be surprised if it's Ruben Bane.

    Rueben BainBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Aaron LaddMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 6

    So but, yeah, we'll gotta be edge rusher. It's gotta be edge rusher. They want Reese... I think it's gotta be Reese. If the Giants don't take him first, that that's my feeling.

    Arvell ReeseKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Craig StoutMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6

    if I'm trading up, I would assume that it is for Ruben Bayne, Jordan Tyson, or Sonny Styles in that order

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Matty LaneMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6

    It's gonna be Ruben Bayne, probably followed by Jordan Tyson.

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32

    So I have Arizona jump with a thirty fourth pick... and take the Seahawks pick at 32... And Tye Simpson goes to the Cardinals

    Ty SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27

    With the twenty seventh overall pick... The San Francisco forty niners select Caleb Lomu, offensive tackle, Utah.

    Caleb LomuSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19

    The Panthers going with McKay Lemmon

    Makai LemonCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    Ravens replace freakish tight end Isaiah Likeley with freakish tight end Kenyon Sadiq.

    Kenyon SadiqBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    The fourth pick is not what I would do, but Jeremiah Love, people say is the best player in the draft... I do think if he is there, they will do it.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18

    Everyone has Dylan Thieneman, back to the Vikings.

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.

    Arvell ReeseDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29

    With the twenty ninth overall pick... his Kansas City Chiefs select Denzel Boston, wide receiver Washington.

    Denzel BostonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Sonny Styles to the Giants.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    with the fourteenth pick in Nick Wright's mott drive four point oh the Baltimore Ravens select Vanga Yoani guard Penn State

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    With the eighth pick of Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the New Orleans Saints select David Bailey, edge, Texas Tech.

    David BaileyNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    With the seventh overall pick... the Washington commanders select Caleb Downs, safety, Ohio State.

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    With the thirtieth overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select Casey Concepcion, wide receiver Texas a and f.

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingDanny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    B.J. to be picked at number 20

    Cardinals with the trade down, they get Falk on an edge with upside

    B.J.Arizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.