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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,070
Graded
351

33% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
138

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,070

graded

719 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025305 of 305 graded
  • 20260 of 719 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

1026–1050 of 1,070

  • Miss · 0Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    Pittsburgh is not going to win the division, bud.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Dec 30, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    I had the Rams hosting the Vikings on a Saturday night, the Rams as the, the NFC West champs ... I saw that one coming before anybody put their marker on the Rams to win the West

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+117 skillsaid Dec 23, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanDivision Winners2024 season

    Atlanta Falcons to win the division

    It's not just hot or overreacting to say they're gonna win the division. They're in first place right now.

    Atlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 100-117 skillsaid Dec 23, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    The Lions might even win their division, pal.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Dec 16, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    The Rams and this is why I chose the Rams to win the NFC West even though the Seahawks are are a game in front of them right now

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+128 skillsaid Dec 9, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    And with the defense starting to come along, they should be the heavy favorites to take the division now.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division

    this is a guy who's gonna lead the Steelers to the AFC North title, and who knows how deep

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100-133 skillsaid Dec 2, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    With a 10-1 record, the Lions are well on their way to winning the NFC North and the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    And with back-to-back divisional wins, they've set themselves up well to win the NFC West and host a home playoff game.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    Houston will win the AFC South, but this team is not a Super Bowl contender.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenDivision Winners2024 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The only thing that we're sure of with the Texans right now is that when they win the division, they will be the first playoff game on the Saturday

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The Texans already have a massive lead in the AFC South, and they could have the division wrapped up by Thanksgiving.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 15, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    Through five games, the Commanders have to be considered the clear-cut favorites in the NFC East.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Oct 8, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    This still feels like Tampa Bay's division until further notice, especially if Mayfield continues to play at this level.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 1, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    If Buffalo's defense continues to improve, there is no reason why they shouldn't win the AFC East again this year.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division

    And with the rest of the AFC North falling apart, this might just be their year.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners2024 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    The Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 10, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    AFC North Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6 ... 4. Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    NFC South New Orleans Saints: 11-6 ... 3. Saints

    New Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    New York Jets to win the division

    AFC East New York Jets: 12-5 ... AFC Playoff Seeding: ... 3. Jets

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    AFC South Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5 ... 1. Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    NFC West San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 ... 1. 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    NFC North Detroit Lions: 10-7 ... 4. Lions

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    NFC East Dallas Cowboys: 12-5 ... 2. Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners2023 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    AFC West Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5 ... 2. Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.