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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2576–2600 of 4,373

  • Hit · 100Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “back end of the first round to the 49ers” (picks 1–32)

    but Saddique to the niners, why is that because you think, obviously... you add him

    Kenyon SadiqSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillsaid Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Your mock draft coming out of the combine, has Fernando Mendoza one

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillsaid Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8

    Let's talk Jeremiah Love. You have him landing eight to the Saints... I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.

    Jeremiyah LoveNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillsaid Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Leka Uhatafe to be picked at number 22

    And then at 22 overall... with the chargers at 22, I look at four players in particular. One of them is Vega Ohanae.

    Leka UhatafeLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillsaid Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingTrevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Banks to be picked “doesn't get to pick 22”

    I think they'd take Caleb Banks if he gets to 22, but I don't think he gets to 22.

    Caleb Banks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Fran DuffyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    what you're hearing from this week, how he's interviewing, is he's he's not making it out of the top 10

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Fran DuffyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    They don't have the balls to put Stukes in the second round like I do.

    Treydan Stukes

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Fran DuffyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)

    we haven't seen a guy with that short of arms go in the top 100. Right. He's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10. He might go in the top five.

    Rueben Bain

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    those are things that I feel like he may have ran him, not only into the first round, but maybe into the top 20.

    Dillon Thieneman

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Now they don't have to worry about Sonny Styles being there in the first round because he went crazy at the combine

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “high second round even maybe even into the first round” (picks 1–64)

    He's not going to the fourth round. He's not going to the third round either. He might go like Carson's he might be this year's Carson Swessinger where he's creeping up high second round even maybe even into the first round with the way he worked out.

    Jacob Rodriguez

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “high second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    Well, I I mocked him in the second round of of our draft... he's definitely someone I feel, like, has the ability to be a a a definitely a high second round pick.

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike MayockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    I think he's a, you know, he's a top 10 pick in any draft. I don't care if it's two or five or eight.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    And so we are all assuming Fernando Mendoza goes one mic

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike MayockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Banks to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    He ran five zero five. I you know, I think he's running himself right right into the first round.

    Caleb Banks

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike MayockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Romello Height to be picked “second day pick”

    I haven't heard a whole lot about him, and I'm I'm anxious to hear I think he's a second day pick. I think he's a 34 outside linebacker and a designated pass rusher

    Romello Height

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike MayockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Darrell Jackson to be picked “the second day”

    That's another kid I think is gonna go on the second day that nobody's really talking about.

    Darrell Jackson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike MayockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    He's a first round safety. Gotcha. I'm in... I'm pounding that I think he's a first round pick. I just don't think in the top 10 at safety

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd McShayMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    the Raiders at one are gonna take Fernando Mendoza

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd McShayMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    I don't see Jeremiah Love getting out of the top five... He's not getting out of the top five.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd McShayMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked “top 100 pick” (picks 1–100)

    So this is a guy who's gonna be top 100 pick who I think has been slept on for way too long.

    Malachi Lawrence

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd McShayMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    And I think Sonny Styles not getting out of the top 10 anymore.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    Now that's humility. Yeah, dude. You're going in the top 10 now.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd McShayMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    You think he'll be a first rounder? That's what you think? I I would be absolutely shocked if Tysons is not a strong pick... I think it's closer to the Rams than people thought in terms of 13, not 29.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    I don't think Jeremiah Love even gets out of the top five now.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.