Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,221
Graded
2,915

69% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+731 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,915 / 4,221

graded

1,306 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261530 of 2620 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

501–525 of 4,221

  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cam Coleman to be picked at number 8

    8. Carolina Panthers: Cam Coleman, WR, Texas

    Cam ColemanCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Trevor Lauck to be picked at number 13

    13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trevor Lauck, OL, Iowa

    Trevor LauckTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Trey'Dez Green to be picked at number 11

    11. Washington Commanders: Trey'Dez Green, TE, LSU

    Trey'Dez GreenWashington Commanders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ahmad Moten Sr. to be picked at number 31

    31. Buffalo Bills: Ahmad Moten, DT, Miami

    Ahmad Moten Sr.Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dylan Stewart to be picked at number 4

    4. Cleveland Browns: Dylan Stewart, Edge, South Carolina

    Dylan StewartCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Leonard Moore to be picked at number 5

    5. Las Vegas Raiders: Leonard Moore, CB, Notre Dame

    Leonard MooreLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    KJ Bolden to be picked at number 19

    19. Cincinnati Bengals: KJ Bolden, S, Georgia

    KJ BoldenCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ellis Robinson to be picked at number 9

    9. New Orleans Saints: Ellis Robinson IV, CB, Georgia

    Ellis RobinsonNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ashton Hampton to be picked at number 28

    28. Philadelphia Eagles: Ashton Hampton, CB, Clemson

    Ashton HamptonPhiladelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sam Leavitt to be picked at number 32

    32. Cleveland Browns (from Rams): Sam Leavitt, QB, LSU

    Sam LeavittCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    LaNorris Sellers to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    LaNorris Sellers ... Early grade: Late Day 2

    LaNorris Sellers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Julian Sayin to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Julian Sayin ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    Julian Sayin

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Drake Lindsey to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)

    Drake Lindsey ... Early grade: Day 3

    Drake Lindsey

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Trinidad Chambliss ... Early grade: Day 2

    Trinidad Chambliss

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Josh Hoover to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)

    Josh Hoover ... Early grade: Day 3

    Josh HooverIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jayden Maiava to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)

    Jayden Maiava ... Early grade: Day 3

    Jayden Maiava

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arch Manning to be picked “Top 10” (picks 1–10)

    Arch Manning ... Early grade: Top 10

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dante Moore to be picked “Late Round 1/Early Round 2”

    Dante Moore ... Early grade: Late Round 1/Early Round 2

    Dante Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    C.J. Carr to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    CJ Carr ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    C.J. Carr

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Drew Mestemaker to be picked “Late Round 1/early Round 2”

    Drew Mestemaker ... Early grade: Late Round 1/early Round 2

    Drew Mestemaker

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zabien Brown to be picked “early-round potential”

    Entering the 2026 season, Brown looks like he has early-round potential for the 2027 draft.

    Zabien Brown

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ryan Coleman-Williams to be picked “an early-round prospect”

    Entering the 2026 season, Coleman-Williams could be an early-round prospect for the 2027 NFL Draft.

    Ryan Coleman-Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zeke Berry to be picked “early-round potential”

    Entering the 2026 season, Berry looks like he has early-round potential.

    Zeke Berry

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob RangMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

    But, if Manning can improve in three particular areas, I believe he will follow in his famous uncles’ footsteps and hear his name called first on draft day.

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ryan Coleman-Williams to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Ryan Coleman-Williams ... Early grade: Early Day 2

    Ryan Coleman-Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 1, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2996 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.