Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,338
- Graded
- 2,919
- Average accuracy
- 66.0
- Pundits
- 211
67% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,919 / 4,338
graded
1,419 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261534 of 2737 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman76 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+47.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+45.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+44.1
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+42.8
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+41.8
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.1
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+40.0
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Lance Zierlein61 accuracy · 27 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.2
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+39.1
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+38.9
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+37.1
- Scott Bogman71 accuracy · 33 graded+37.1
- Brandon Carney81 accuracy · 18 graded+36.9
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+34.9
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.5
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+34.2
- Pat Fitzmaurice74 accuracy · 42 graded+34.1
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+33.0
- Field Yates83 accuracy · 30 graded+33.0
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+32.7
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.7
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+31.2
- Bucky Brooks82 accuracy · 99 graded+30.1
- Ayrton Ostley59 accuracy · 14 graded+30.0
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+29.6
- Emory Hunt50 accuracy · 9 graded+29.2
- Daniel Jeremiah73 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta67 accuracy · 69 graded+20.5
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+19.1
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+16.4
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB24 mocksmocked around 15 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Emmanuel PregnonG7 mocksmocked around 35 · went at 88
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.9 · 232 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.5 · 233 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)63.4 · 13 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)67.5 · 95 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)84.6 · 34 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)70.1 · 72 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)78.7 · 232 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)72.4 · 350 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)69.6 · 212 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Sports Illustrated50.0 · 4 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- CBS Sports36.9 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
1101–1125 of 4,338
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19
that leaves tight end Kenyan Saddiq out of Oregon available and on the board for the Carolina Panthers
Blake Miller to be picked at number 21
Number 21, the Pittsburgh Steelers take another lineman, Blake Miller out of Clemson.
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 22
Number 22, Los Angeles chargers go corner... they go to Avion Terrell
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9
the New York Jets move up to take Jordan Tyson, the second receiver off the board in this mock draft
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13
At 13, the Los Angeles Rams go Francis, Maui Goa.
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
Then at number 10, the giants are back on the board... They go safety with this pick... but I settled on Caleb downs
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
Kansas City Chiefs back on the clock to make their first pick of the draft. Offensive lineman, Caden Proctor
Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71
Number 71 overall in the third round, Kamari Ramsey, safety out of USC
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
Number eight, New York Giants via that trade with the New Orleans Saints, they get cornerback man Mansour the lane
T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209
Six round two zero nine, TJ Hall, cornerback out of Iowa
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection later on today for the New Orleans Saints.
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
Well, I do think that Ruben Bayne Junior out of Miami, the edge rusher is a likely selection... I feel like I should have stuck with my prediction of Ruben Bayne Junior
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8
I'm starting to lean towards the idea of the Saints potentially walking away with either LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs in the first round... at this point, I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “does not go in the top five” (picks 1–5)
so my bold prediction Is Jeremiah love does not go in the top five
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
I do think The titans can Go Sony styles because everyone's telling me they're gonna Ta jeremiah... so you Go mendoza the two pass Rushers. Styles
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I think we see one quarterback get drafted and That's Fernando mendez at number one... So fernando goes one
Ty Simpson to be picked “does not go in the first round” (picks 1–32)
I do not think That Ty simpson goes in the first round... SO i do not think Ty simpson's off the board On thursday night
Bud Clark to be picked “later third round pick” (picks 65–100)
here's a very common name croc with the second later third round pick, Bud Clark, safety out of TCU
Charles Demmings to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
In the fifth round going Charles Demings, cornerback out of Stephen f Austin
Caden Barnett to be picked “round six”
to finish up this mock draft croc with my favorite sleeper in this draft, round six, going with another guard, Caden Barnett, the guard out of Wyoming
Jonah Coleman to be picked “finishing up the fourth round” (picks 101–140)
Finishing up the fourth round... Jonah Coleman running back out of Washington
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 27
my first pick for the forty niners at pick 27... is Kevin Concepcion, KC, the wide receiver from Texas A and M
Trey Zuhn to be picked “round four”
I'm going with Trae Zune as their offensive lineman in this draft in round four
Dallen Bentley to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)
Dallin Bentley is so clearly one of the best options for the forty niners to me when I put on the tape... So three fourth round picks
Keyron Crawford to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)
my guy for the forty niners here in this mock draft, in the third round after that slight trade down is Kieron Crawford edge rusher out of Auburn
By sport
NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.