Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,338
- Graded
- 2,919
- Average accuracy
- 66.0
- Pundits
- 211
67% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,919 / 4,338
graded
1,419 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261534 of 2737 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman76 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+47.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+45.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+44.1
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+42.8
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+41.8
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.1
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+40.0
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Lance Zierlein61 accuracy · 27 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.2
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+39.1
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+38.9
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+37.1
- Scott Bogman71 accuracy · 33 graded+37.1
- Brandon Carney81 accuracy · 18 graded+36.9
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+34.9
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.5
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+34.2
- Pat Fitzmaurice74 accuracy · 42 graded+34.1
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+33.0
- Field Yates83 accuracy · 30 graded+33.0
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+32.7
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.7
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+31.2
- Bucky Brooks82 accuracy · 99 graded+30.1
- Ayrton Ostley59 accuracy · 14 graded+30.0
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+29.6
- Emory Hunt50 accuracy · 9 graded+29.2
- Daniel Jeremiah73 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta67 accuracy · 69 graded+20.5
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+19.1
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+16.4
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB24 mocksmocked around 15 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Emmanuel PregnonG7 mocksmocked around 35 · went at 88
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.9 · 232 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.5 · 233 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)63.4 · 13 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)67.5 · 95 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)84.6 · 34 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)70.1 · 72 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)78.7 · 232 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)72.4 · 350 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)69.6 · 212 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Sports Illustrated50.0 · 4 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- CBS Sports36.9 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
1126–1150 of 4,338
Julian Neal to be picked at number 104
I think the Packers then take one twenty. They pair one of those picks and they move up to let's call it one zero four. And they get Julianne Neill.
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)
I don't think Caleb Proctor is gonna last much much past 100 and it wouldn't surprise me if he goes in the top 100.
Jager Burton to be picked “drafted by the Packers”
So now you're just gonna go down the list. Some of the guys that we've talked about, Jagger Burton who's gonna be, you know, center guard
Daylen Everette to be picked at number 84
At eighty four, I think this could be Julianne Neill. I think this could be Malik Mohammed. I went with Dalen Everett.
Behren Morton to be picked “drafted by the Packers”
and then Baron Morton, the quarterback from Texas Tech... They wanna take a quarterback in this draft. He's the one I pick.
Taylen Green to be picked “day three”
Don't be surprised if Talen Green is a pick on day three if they end up getting some extra picks
Kaelon Black to be picked “drafted by the Packers”
Kalyn Black is not the explosive runner that Michael Washington is, but I think like overall complete running back vision
Kaleb Proctor to be picked at number 115
So you can now take $1.38, package it with one fifty three, which is that extra Eagles pick and that would get you to one fifteen... So this is a terrific move for Green Bay to get a penetrating three technique.
Caleb Downs to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We know Caleb Downs is gonna go on the first round.
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
there are some, linebackers who could sneak in. You've got well, not sneak in in the case of Sonny Styles
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We know Emmanuel McNeil Warren, is going to get in.
Jordan van den Berg to be picked at number 236
At two thirty six, I mentioned Jordan Vandenberg, you double up a defensive tackle
Charles Demings to be picked “earlier than pick 153”
Now I think he's going to go earlier than this. I think six foot one hundred ninety plus pound corners that run-in the low four fours... are gonna go earlier in the draft.
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We know Dylan Thieneman is gonna get in.
Ted Hurst to be picked at number 58
I'm gonna move down to 58... And I'm gonna take Ted Hurst. I think they're going to take a receiver.
Harold Perkins to be picked “the end of day two”
He is he seems like he's gonna end up going at the end of day two just because he has such good athletic numbers
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
I also had Bayne as the most likely option, but from what it seems.
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8
I still feel like Downs is the guy... I got downs one... downs being the most likely
Oscar Delp to be picked “in the third”
I'm gonna go Oscar Delt... prop probably not a second round guy, but but third round, I can see him going in the third.
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
I think a safe bet to guess for somebody to be there at eight, this I guess, this will be my guy is Ruben Bay... I feel like Ruben Bane is a safe guess for number eight
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “gonna go before the Saints”
I'm starting to get a a little bit of a feel that... Tyson with what he showed at his private workout is gonna go before the Saints.
David Bailey to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.
- Close · 62KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Keldric Faulk to be picked “top half of the first round, top 20” (picks 1–20)
I think he's going top I think he goes top half of the first round, top 20. I think that's the range for him.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 50KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Landon Robinson to be picked at number 210
with a six round pick, two ten. The Chiefs select Landon Robinson, the defensive tackle, out of Navy.
Landon RobinsonKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 96KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4
With the fourth pick in this draft, the Tennessee titans take linebacker, future pass rusher, Arvel Reese, out of Ohio State.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
By sport
NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)
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