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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,338
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,338

graded

1,419 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2737 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1201–1225 of 4,338

  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10

    I'm going to give him Carnell Tate, a big time receiver to add to that group

    Carnell TateNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    Some players just match with teams, and this one made sense to me when you look at USC play football over the last couple of years and you watch McKay lemon. This guy kind of looks like a ram the way he plays the game.

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    So where do the Titans go now? At four? ... Sonny Styles is his dream type of player.

    Sonny StylesTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 19

    Mix up pick number nineteen ... he fallows one spot behind it. He goes to the Carolina Panthers.

    Dillon ThienemanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    I have them going with the top corner in the draft and mansour Delane out of LSU

    Mansoor DelaneKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 23

    To me, I thought, Tampa a key mesidor makes sense for them, and I had them trading back ... They can slide back here to this spot

    Akheem MesidorTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 29

    We keep it going here to the Kansas City Chiefs their second first round pick ... Now we come back and get Trading Stokes out of Arizona

    Treydan StukesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 26

    Who's coming up? Not a shocker here. It's the Arizona Cardinals and it is ty Simpson time.

    Ty SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Peter Woods to be picked at number 32

    Peter Woods is still out there, very talented d tackle from Clemson, the Baltimore Ravens ... They get Peter Woods.

    Peter WoodsBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 30

    We get to the Miami Dolphins Caleb Lomu.

    Caleb LomuMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 21

    Blake Miller, the big tackle out of Clemson ... it feels like a Pittsburgh Steeler at right tackle.

    Blake MillerPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    we can keep it rolling here and get to the Baltimore Ravens ... Let's go get the fastest tight end there is and Sadik out of Oregon.

    Kenyon SadiqBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Colton Hood to be picked at number 18

    Next up the Minnesota Vikings ... So I went with Coltonhood, the corner out of Tennessee.

    Colton HoodMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 8

    Francis Mauinoah out of Miami is a plug and play right tackle ... what do they do here at eight in the first round

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 27

    Let's go to twenty seven where the Niners are on the clock ... Denzel Boston out of the University of Washington

    Denzel BostonSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    All right, we get next up with the Detroit Lions. That seventeenth pick... We'll take Monroe Freeling, the big left tackle out of Georgia

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    if they're stuck at six, I got him going out to Utah and taking Spencer Fano, the tackle

    Spencer FanoCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    That's why RVL. Reese is going to go number three, not just simply to play off the ball.

    Arvell Reese

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 11

    Go get Ruben Bain from the University of Miami to shore up to edge rush position

    Rueben BainMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    I've got the Saints making a move to get up to RVL Reese here ... You have RVL Reese going next at three.

    Arvell ReeseNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    What do they do with twenty four? ... Let's get the receiver Casey concepts out of Texas A and m

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 15

    a hot name coming down the home stretch here has been Caden Proctor, the big tackle out of Alabama ... the Eagles jumping up to fifteen

    Kadyn ProctorPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22

    Let's get to the Chargers here ... I like it here Vega Yoane from Penn State

    Olaivavega IoaneLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked “at seven, or at eight”

    it feels to me like there's a possibility Bain goes at seven, or at eight, and maybe that doesn't work out.

    Rueben Bain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    And I believe it's the Kansas City Chiefs moving up from nine to take Arbel Reese here.

    Arvell ReeseKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 22, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.