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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,338
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,338

graded

1,419 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2737 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1176–1200 of 4,338

  • Miss · 31KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31

    At pick 31, the Patriots select Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the safety out of Toledo.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 74KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    the Washington commanders select Matty's guy, Mikhail Lemmon, the wide receiver, out of USC

    Makai LemonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 96KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 7

    The Rams move up from 13 to seven to acquire Jordan Tyson, the wide receiver, out of Arizona State

    Jordyn TysonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 88KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    The Cleveland Browns are staying in selecting Spencer Fano, the offensive tackle out of Utah.

    Spencer FanoCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingKC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Davison Igbinosun to be picked “earlier than pick 96”

    I do think this could be a little rich, that he gets there. Like, I think I think his I think he's going earlier.

    Davison Igbinosun

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026
  • Miss · 2KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Nate Boerkircher to be picked at number 148

    Pick one forty eight fifth round. The Chiefs grab a tight end. Nate Borkircher from Texas A and M.

    Nate BoerkircherKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 28

    At pick 28, the Houston Texans select Malachi Lawrence, the defensive end out of UCF.

    Malachi LawrenceHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 84KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8

    The New Orleans Saints have selected wide receiver, Carnell Tate, out of Ohio State.

    Carnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingMatty LaneMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”

    I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.

    Arvell Reese

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatty LaneMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”

    I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 22

    TJ Parker, the edge out of Clemson, goes to the chargers.

    T.J. ParkerLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    The Kansas City Chiefs are selecting Ruben Bayne junior, the defensive end out of Miami.

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 92KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    Monroe Freeling goes to the Detroit Lions at pick 17 after that, the offensive tackle out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    the Baltimore Ravens select Vega Ione, the interior offensive lineman out of Penn State

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 88KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 20

    With the twentieth pick ... the Kansas City Chiefs are selecting Blake Miller, the offensive tackle out of Clemson.

    Blake MillerKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 25

    We get to the Chicago Bears ... Keldric Faulk playing that six technique on the edge.

    Keldric FaulkChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    This one you can write in Penn, Fernando Mendoza, the Indiana Heisman winning quarterback, is going to go to the Las Vegas Raiders.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    the Giants take Jeremiah Love at five overall

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12

    Next up, we have the Dallas Cowboys. Look who just fell in their lap In this scenario, they go get one of the top players and Downs.

    Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 7

    Next up behind them, we have the Washington Commanders... And here you've got Jordan Tyson ... Washington takes Jordan Tyson over Tate at seven

    Jordyn TysonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    I'm going to go with David Bailey out of Texas Tech ... Then the Jets take Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at number two overall.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 20

    I've got him taking him right there at twenty.

    Malachi LawrenceDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16

    But if they stay here, Omar Cooper Junior would be a nice compliment to what they have in Garrett Wilson.

    Omar CooperNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28

    Next up at twenty eight with the Houston Texans ... Max Einatchor from Arizona State

    Max IheanachorHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 31

    Next up, we have got the New England Patriots. This is Chris Johnson.

    Chris JohnsonNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.