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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,338
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,338

graded

1,419 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2737 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1351–1375 of 4,338

  • Hit · 100Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Fernando Mendoza, number one of the Raiders.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11

    Spencer Fano, the big tackle from Utah goes 11 to the Miami Dolphins in this mock draft.

    Spencer FanoMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    Francis Mowajoa, the big tackle from Miami, three to Arizona.

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    D'Angelo Ponds to be picked at number 51

    D'Angelo Ponds, by the way, goes 51 in this mock draft

    D'Angelo Ponds

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 4

    At number four, David Bailey, the edge rusher to Tennessee.

    David BaileyTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    And giants at five, Sonny Styles out of Ohio State.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    Arbel Reese, two to the Jets.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Matt DeryMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    I mocked Caden Proctor to Detroit at 17 because I just think the SEC factor, the Alabama factor, Brad Holmes likes Alabama players

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    Yoane, the big guard from Penn State going to the Ravens at 14

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 28

    Caden Procter 28 to Houston

    Kadyn ProctorHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 24

    Blake Miller going 24 to the Browns

    Blake MillerCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Derrick Moore to be picked at number 50

    Reed has the lions at 50 taking Michigan edge, Derek Moore, with their second round pick.

    Derrick MooreDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 30

    Kendrick Falk who Falk, the edge rusher from Auburn ... going number 30 to the Dolphins here at the end of the first round

    Keldric FaulkMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Jordan ReidMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    So at number 17 in Jordan reads, espn.com mock draft, He is the lion selecting Monroe Freeling, the tackle from Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+45.38 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    and so Kenyan Sadiq comes off the board here at fourteen.

    Kenyon SadiqBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+38.57 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 25

    which leads us to '25 with the Chicago Bears... if he does fall here, Dennis Allen's gonna fall over himself drafting him, and that's Auburn Edge, Keldrick Falk.

    Keldric FaulkChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    if we're gonna start number one overall, this feels like cut and dry. We're putting this in Sharpie. It is Fernando Mendoza, quarterback from Indiana.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 3

    So I kept David Bailey here at three.

    David BaileyArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26

    Bills are on the clock here at 26... I have going Ohio State defensive tackle, Caden McDonald

    Cade McDonaldBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+38.57 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22

    if Vega Yolani's on the board for the chargers with their need at guard, yeah, that one is an obvious pick... this one makes too much sense for the charges to pass on in 22.

    Olaivavega IoaneLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+38.57 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    They also throw positional value out the window, and I have them taking Caleb Downs, safety from Ohio State.

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 29

    '29 is the Chiefs again... And I had them taking a guy that I think is very similar to Trent McDuffie, and that's Avion Tyrell.

    Avieon TerrellKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    But if they don't go and find a trade up partner, I think a key Mesador would be the pick here.

    Akheem MesidorTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 11

    They're keeping the guy local. They I have them taking Francis Maitonoa out of Miami.

    Francis MauigoaMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    We go to Detroit at 17 and this one feels like a Brad Holmes pick... It's Caden Proctor, tackle from Alabama.

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.