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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,357
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,357

graded

1,438 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2756 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2051–2075 of 4,357

  • Hit · 88Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ted Hurst to be picked at number 87

    Round 3 (No. 87 overall): Ted Hurst, WR, Georgia State

    Ted HurstMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 40

    So would you say they were a pick forty that's you know... Chris Johnson, I'll keep going back to that name. I think that's right about where he goes. That's a good value

    Chris Johnson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    At number six, Charles has the Browns taking Carnal tape

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Number One Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders shocking

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    up next at number five, Je're my Love going to the Giants

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingLaQuan JonesMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “possibly get him at thirty”

    I don't think Sadik's gonna go as high as everybody thinks he is... I just don't see them taking him at eleven when you could possibly get him at thirty

    Kenyon Sadiq

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100LaQuan JonesMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked “first round draft pick, like in the late twenties, maybe even in that twenty twenty five spot” (picks 1–32)

    like Omar to me feels like he should be a first round draft pick, like in the late, you know, twenties, maybe even in that twenty twenty five spot

    Omar Cooper

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    the next step on the list at number thirteen, Your boy, it's kaya limit to the Panthers

    Makai LemonCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike FlorioMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    But Simpson is it seems like there's more and more smoke coming and probably gonna be a first round pick

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 21

    last one twenty one, the Steelers taking Omar Cooper Junior

    Omar CooperPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3

    At number three, though, Florio Charles Davis goes to Ty Simpson to the Arizona Cardinals

    Ty SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11

    At number eleven. According to Charles Davis, the Dolphins taking Kenyon Sadiq

    Kenyon SadiqMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Charles DavisMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    at the number eight spot, Charles Davis has these Saints taking Jordan Tyson

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+42.86 skillsaid Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 53

    You would have Garrett Nussmeyer being the choice... for the Steelers fifty third overall

    Garrett NussmeierPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 10

    for me this year, it would be Sonny Stiles at ten... So he would be an absolute steal at 10 for the Bengals

    Sonny StylesCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 7

    So then you got, the final four of your first, top 10 here. Mansoor delaying going to Washington

    Mansoor DelaneWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Drew Allar to be picked “second round choice” (picks 33–64)

    and then you have the Rams using a second round choice on Drew Aller of Penn State

    Drew AllarLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    and then it's whoever the the top two defensive backs are available for the Cowboys at twelve and twenty on their draft board... Getting McCoy in there

    Jermod McCoyDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    You're also seeing Dylan Thieneman being a a Sharpie pick for the Vikings

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Colton Hood to be picked at number 30

    You have them Colton Hood, a corner and thirtieth overall pick from the the, trade of Jalen Waddle to Denver

    Colton HoodMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I I think Avion Tyrell, that might be another Sharpie pick, right, with the Chiefs having flipped... getting Ruben Bayne and Adrian Terrell gives them weapons on defense

    Avieon TerrellKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    And then Tate would be available for the Browns? You think that would be Todd Monken's first draft choice as the Browns? I do.

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    that leaves every other Ohio State player available for the Giants, and you think they go downs

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    You still think the Jets choose him second overall, Matt? Yeah. I do.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    you you'd throw where Denzel Boston to the Raiders

    Denzel BostonLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.4 skillsaid Mar 31, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.