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Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
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Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
26–47 of 47
42 / 47
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5 still pending
Now the race is much tighter. It's about a half a point. I still think it leans towards Harris, but Trump has made up a lot of ground... that's a state where I think the Democrats can still hold it.
It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.
It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.
It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... I don't wanna say trumps, but are definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.
I think the momentum is toward Trump. And I think if if I were one of the... Had to be one of the candidates, I'd rather be Donald Trump in this race.
I I do agree with Stu that the race seems... The momentum seems to favor Trump... If if you wanted to be the two candidates right now, who would you rather be? And I and I I think I would rather be Trump.
However, I would give I would rather be Donald Trump in these closing days than I would be with, with Harris. She has struggled to, in this state. She's not particularly a good fit for this state... My gut tells me that I would rather be Trump than Harris at this moment.
I will tell you James Carville. He's got a piece out, today in which he says he knows she's gonna win. He says he just he just knows it. What Carville is saying is Trump's gonna lose and Kamala's gonna win
the the Republicans are accurately deducing that they're gonna get, West Virginia.
Dave McCormick's gonna win.
I think it's really a question of how far to the Republicans does it go.
Well well, I mean, I think Republicans will be anywhere from 52 to 56 seats at this point.
It now looks like a lock in Montana.
The one state where I was really nervous was Nevada and not so anymore... I I believe that's solidly in Trump's camp now.
Dave McCormick's gonna win. I think Mike Rogers in Michigan
And the Republican side, you've got all of those three races. Nebraska, Florida, and Texas all shored up.
And the Republican side, you've got all of those three races. Nebraska, Florida, and Texas all shored up.
And the Republican side, you've got all of those three races. Nebraska, Florida, and Texas all shored up.
I I mean, I I think, obviously, Connecticut is going blue.
But if you ask me to say, who do I think's ahead now? I think Donald Trump's ahead. I think he's more likely than not to win.
you have a tough time reaching any conclusion other than, Donald Trump is a narrow but clear favorite to win the election.
that third horse usually pulls ahead and wins. And it kinda feels like that's what's happening right now... It feels like Trump is that third horse, and he's he's pulling forward... And he's moved into the first position.