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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2476–2500 of 4,373

  • PendingChris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked “gone at, like, seven or eight”

    I keep looking at Mox, and I keep seeing the guy that I wish was going to be there gone at, like, seven or eight, and that's Ruben Bane.

    Rueben Bain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”

    I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point, so 20 nine's gotta be the spot.

    Akheem Mesidor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Doug "D-Mac" McKainMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    My dream off season, I have Mekhi Lemmon as my pick at 13

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Except that Fernando Mendoza is going to be the number one overall pick to Las Vegas Raiders because Clint Kubiak clearly cannot stand Geno Smith

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked “day two”

    Jadarian, Price out of Notre Dame. Jeremiah Love's, back backfield mate, a guy that's expected to go in day two, could be a really good pick.

    Jadarian Price

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked “day two pick”

    Mike Washington out of Arkansas, expected to be a day two pick.

    Mike Washington

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    The only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Tiernan to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    This guy, Caleb Tiernan from Northwestern. These are two second round tackles with short arms who are gonna move down inside the guard.

    Caleb Tiernan

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kade Casey to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    Guard cage, Casey from Boise State. This guy, Caleb Tiernan from Northwestern. These are two second round tackles with short arms

    Kade Casey

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked “not inside the top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)

    Like, you can't draft him as a tackle. Not 32 and an eights armed, not inside the top 10 picks. So if he were available at 28, I would a 100% take him... I don't think he'll be there.

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingLance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “way overdrafted”

    Monroe Freeling from, Georgia away overdrafted.

    Monroe Freeling

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingLance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked “drafted before pick 28”

    I still think Caleb loan you, for example, I think he'll get drafted by then.

    Caleb Lomu

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28

    I gave them in my last mock draft. I gave the Texans Caleb Lomew at tackle.

    Caleb LomuHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zachariah Branch to be picked at number 73

    there's a perfect opportunity for me to do so in round three, pick 73 with Georgia wide receiver, Zachariah Branch

    Zachariah BranchNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8

    Caleb Downs makes perfect sense for this team at eight, assuming that those medicals do check out.

    Caleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 28Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Emmett Johnson to be picked at number 132

    with the first selection of round four, pick one thirty two, I went with Nebraska running back Emmett Johnson

    Emmett JohnsonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Treydan Stukes to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)

    trading stoops as well out of Arizona ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.

    Treydan Stukes

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keionte Scott to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)

    Keontay Scott out of Miami. ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.

    Keionte Scott

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zion Young to be picked at number 42

    Alright. Let's move on now to round two, pick 42. ... I went with Missouri edge rusher Zion Young.

    Zion YoungNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)

    And I think Malachi Lawrence now is going, like, top 100.

    Malachi Lawrence

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Tim Keenan to be picked at number 137

    Going back to defense here as well, with Alabama defensive tackle Tim Keenan the third. This is at round four, pick one thirty seven.

    Tim KeenanNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bud Clark to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)

    And then I'd highlight, of course, TCU safety, Bud Clark. Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.

    Bud Clark

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Beau Stephens to be picked at number 148

    round four pick one forty eight, I'm gonna go with Iowa guard Beau Stevens

    Beau StephensNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 18Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Trey Moore to be picked at number 170

    And then round five pick one seventy, I'm gonna go with, Texas linebacker Trey Moore.

    Trey MooreNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 189

    jumping ahead now to round six, our final selection pick one eighty nine. Houston tight end Tanner Cazio.

    Tanner KoziolNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Mar 9, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.