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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,221
Graded
2,919

69% settled

Average accuracy
65.3

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1444 scored 80+733 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,221

graded

1,302 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2620 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

901–925 of 4,221

  • PendingDanny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    B.J. to be picked at number 20

    Cardinals with the trade down, they get Falk on an edge with upside

    B.J.Arizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    With the second pick... the New York Jets select. Arvell Reese, linebacker, Ohio State.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    With the third pick... the Arizona Cardinals select Francis Maui Noa, offensive tackle, University of Miami.

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    With the thirteenth pick... the Los Angeles Rams... select Mekhi Lemmon, wide receiver, USC.

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 3Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16

    With the sixteenth overall pick... the New York Jets select Jermott McCoy, cornerback, Tennessee.

    Jermod McCoyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15

    With the fifteenth pick... the Tampa Bay bucketeers select Kenyan Saddiq, tight end, Oregon.

    Kenyon SadiqTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    And then Reuben Bain Junior goes to the New Orleans Saints at number eight

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 24

    With the twenty fourth pick... the Cleveland Browns select Blake Miller tackle, Clemson.

    Blake MillerCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20

    with the twentieth pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Dallas Cowboys of Jerry Jones select CJ Allen, linebacker, Georgia

    C.J. AllenDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22

    with the twenty second pick in the Nick Wright mock draft four point o, the Los Angeles Chargers... they select Omar Cooper, wide receiver, Indiana

    Omar CooperLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25

    with the twenty fifth pick in Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the Chicago Bears select Akeem Mesidore, edge rusher out of The U

    Akheem MesidorChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    With the eighth pick of Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the New Orleans Saints select David Bailey, edge, Texas Tech.

    David BaileyNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Peter Woods to be picked at number 26

    I think Peter Woods and Caden McDonald would be like the top guys for the Bills. I had them going with the DT out of Clemson.

    Peter WoodsBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Sonny Styles to the Giants.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    I think the Jets with Aaron Glenn go with the more surefire pass rusher, David Bailey, over Arvell Reese at two

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    With the fifth overall pick... The New York Giants select Sunny Styles, linebacker, Ohio State.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 31Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31

    Most people don't have the Patriots taking a safety, but most people also have McNeil Warren going higher than this.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9

    I think the Chiefs just go to arguably best player in the draft, Caleb Downs... At at number nine.

    Caleb DownsKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    With the thirtieth overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select Casey Concepcion, wide receiver Texas a and f.

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 31

    With the thirty first pick, the... New England Patriots select, Cassius Howell, Edge, Texas A and M.

    Cashius HowellNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.

    Arvell ReeseDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    The fourth pick is not what I would do, but Jeremiah Love, people say is the best player in the draft... I do think if he is there, they will do it.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    Francis Manenoah for the Browns, I know they need a left tackle.

    Francis MauigoaCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.