Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,338
- Graded
- 2,919
- Average accuracy
- 66.0
- Pundits
- 211
67% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,919 / 4,338
graded
1,419 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261534 of 2737 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman76 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+47.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+45.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+44.1
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+42.8
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+41.8
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.1
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+40.0
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Lance Zierlein61 accuracy · 27 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.2
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+39.1
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+38.9
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+37.1
- Scott Bogman71 accuracy · 33 graded+37.1
- Brandon Carney81 accuracy · 18 graded+36.9
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+34.9
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.5
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+34.2
- Pat Fitzmaurice74 accuracy · 42 graded+34.1
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+33.0
- Field Yates83 accuracy · 30 graded+33.0
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+32.7
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.7
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+31.2
- Bucky Brooks82 accuracy · 99 graded+30.1
- Ayrton Ostley59 accuracy · 14 graded+30.0
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+29.6
- Emory Hunt50 accuracy · 9 graded+29.2
- Daniel Jeremiah73 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta67 accuracy · 69 graded+20.5
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+19.1
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+16.4
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB24 mocksmocked around 15 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Emmanuel PregnonG7 mocksmocked around 35 · went at 88
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.9 · 232 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.5 · 233 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)63.4 · 13 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)67.5 · 95 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)84.6 · 34 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)70.1 · 72 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)78.7 · 232 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)72.4 · 350 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)69.6 · 212 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Sports Illustrated50.0 · 4 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- CBS Sports36.9 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
1151–1175 of 4,338
- Close · 74KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23
Wide receiver, Omar Cooper, goes to the jets at pick 23.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3
the Cardinals stick and pick, and they take Jeremiah Love, the running back out of Notre Dame
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 68KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 19
Caleb Lomu, the offensive tackle out of Utah, is the selection there for the San Francisco forty niners
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24
Browns at pick 24 take KC Concepcion, the Texas A and M
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 48KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Jack Kelly to be picked at number 176
With the 176 pick in the 2026 ... mock draft, the Chiefs select linebacker Jack Kelly out of BYU.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 62KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27
at pick 27, the Panthers are taking Kenyan Saddiq, the tight end, out of Oregon
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 Dillon Thieneman to be picked “pick 18 or earlier (this is the lowest I think we see Thiene go)”
this is probably the most likely spot for his, you know, fall, quote, unquote, but this is the lowest I think we see Thena go
- Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
the New York Giants will stay and pick Caleb Downs, the safety out of Ohio State
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11
Pick number 11, Miami Dolphins Mansour Delaine, the cornerback out of LSU.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Miss · 5KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 32
with pick 32, the Seattle Seahawks take the most talented quarterback in this draft ... Jermaine McCoy, the quarterback
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
the Las Vegas Raiders select quarterback Fernando Mendoza out of Indiana
Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 74KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
With the eighteenth pick, the Minnesota Vikings select Dylan Thieneman, the safety out of Oregon.
Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - PendingKC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 10
The Giants at 10 go Francis Maui Noah. They go and grab an offensive lineman
Francisco MauigoaNew York Giants
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 59KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 25
The Cardinals trade back into the first round. They go up in with the Bears ... They grab Ty Simpson.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 21
Max Iannacher goes pick 21 to the Steelers, the Arizona State offense tackle.
Max IheanachorPittsburgh Steelers
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Sonny Styles, the off ball linebacker goes to the Dallas cowboys at pick 12
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
With the second pick ... the New York Jets, they go ahead and they grab David Bailey, the defensive end out of Texas Tech.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 50KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15
With fifteenth pick, the, Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Kendrick Faulk the edge out of Auburn.
Keldric FaulkTampa Bay Buccaneers
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 84KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
The Jets have traded with the Philadelphia Eagles to pick 16 selected. Caden Proctor, the offensive tackle out of Alabama.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Miss · 23KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 96
with the 96 pick in round three. The Kansas City Chiefs select Donovan, Davidson Igbonos ... out of Ohio State
Davison IgbinosunKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 92KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 29
at pick 29, the Dallas Cowboys select Chris Johnson, the quarterback out of San Diego State
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Hit · 88KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Peter Woods to be picked at number 26
The Bills at pick 26 take Peter was the defensive tackle out of Clemson.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Miss · 10KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Chris Bell to be picked at number 40
With the fortieth pick ... the Kansas City Chiefs do address the wide receiver position. They take Chris Bell, the pass catcher out of Louisville
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 - Close · 68KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks2026 season
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 30
At pick 30, the Dolphins select Denzel Boston, the wide receiver out of Washington.
a naive guess scored 50+44.61 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026 Fernando Mendoza to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.
By sport
NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.