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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,338
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,338

graded

1,419 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2737 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1301–1325 of 4,338

  • Hit · 81Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19

    This is where I finally have concepcion going Carolina

    K.C. ConcepcionCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+42.72 skillsaid Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 21

    I have the Steelers taking Spencer Fano tackle guard from Utah.

    Spencer FanoPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+42.72 skillsaid Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 13

    My least favorite pick of the mock draft is Monroe Freeling the Georgia tackle to the Rams.

    Monroe FreelingLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+42.72 skillsaid Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 22

    The chargers get Makai Lemmon who also gets to stay in Los Angeles.

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 29

    Caden McDonald, twenty ninth overall pick, out of Ohio State d lineman, our new a gap anchor for Durante Jones defensive line.

    Cade McDonaldWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks2026 season

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 22

    With the twenty second pick of the 2026 locked on NFL mock draft, the Los Angeles chargers select TJ Parker, Clemson, Edge rusher, and fill one of their biggest needs with their first round pick

    T.J. ParkerLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 30

    Cassius Howell, definitely a guy we could have taken there right at 22. He ended up going at 30.

    Cashius Howell

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Hit · 81Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    even Caden Procter going, you know, a guy who could be a a, you know, a a guard and and and tackle Flex going to the Lions at 17

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Hit · 100Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “late in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    Kendrick Falk who ended up going late in the first round in the mock

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Hit · 84Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 18

    You got Aki Mezzadore or probably our number one edge going to the Bucks at 18.

    Akheem MesidorTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Close · 57David DroegemeierMock Draft Picks2026 season

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 22

    There really wasn't any other great options to go with... And that's the reason why we went with TJ Parker.

    T.J. ParkerLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19

    And then Kenyan Sadik going to the ban Panthers at 19.

    Kenyon SadiqCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Miss · 0Locked On Podcast NetworkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Vega Ioana to be picked at number 11

    you have Vega Ioana who goes to the the Dolphins at pick number 11

    Vega IoanaMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026
  • Hit · 100Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    the one thing that we're talking about being a lock them if you lock it in Ty Simpson, is he a locked to do in the first round. I'm gonna say lock... I feel like it's starting to look more and more like Arizona.

    Ty SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    So what I ultimately did was I think I ended up going Caleb Downs there at at pick number five.

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    Now I've got Sonny Styles going to Robert Salah at four.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    I have Styles going four, I had Jeremy I Love three.

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    Francis Maui Noah is the best offensive lineman in this draft. Three is probably a little rich for him to go, but I think the cardinals are going to want to go offense.

    Francisco MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 7

    David Bailey slips all the way to seven. Washington though might be with the best pure pass rusher in the draft.

    David BaileyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    Dolphins are on the clock at eleven... Mansour Delaine, I think the best corner in the draft out of LSU to Miami.

    Mansoor DelaneMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    Casey Concepcion, the very intriguing wide receiver out of A and M to Miami.

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18

    Vikings replaced the great Harrison Smith with Dylan Thieneman

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    And then Spencer Fano, who some people have been mocked all the way up to number nine... But the Lions all of a sudden, what was their strength offensive line, they now really need to address.

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arbel Ruiz to be picked at number 2

    Arbel Ruiz to the to the Jets. This is what everybody thought... So I think we're going to Argo Reese.

    Arbel RuizNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    Reuben Bain Junior, the edge rusher out of Miami... I want him to fall to nine to the Chiefs. We'll see about four point o. He doesn't.

    Rueben Bain

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.