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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,338
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
211

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,338

graded

1,419 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2737 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1476–1500 of 4,338

  • Hit · 100Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    But Texas Tech defensive end David Bailey... I'm taking David Bailey here.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    R VIL Reese is still on the board for the Cardinals. Do they take him or go somewhere else. They are going to take him

    Arvell ReeseArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+39.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Emory HuntMock Draft Picks2026 season

    D'Angelo Ponds to be picked at number 25

    why not backfield back with a good cornerback and Dangelo Pond's out of Indiana

    D'Angelo PondsChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+29.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 37Emory HuntMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 16

    I'm gonna go receiver Denzel Boston. I like his ability to win short, intermediate, deep down the field.

    Denzel BostonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+29.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    I like Monroe feeling here for the Lions

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Emory HuntMock Draft Picks2026 season

    C.J. Allen to be picked at number 28

    CJ. Allen, I'm a big fan of I like the fact that he had tax downhill... Georgia linebackers are pretty much, you know, rubber stamps

    C.J. AllenHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+29.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Emory HuntMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19

    I'm gonna go with kenyan A. Sadik... But that's why I w ke for Carolina.

    Kenyon SadiqCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+29.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    So I give the Saints Manster Delane to give them a nice outside presence across from kool Aid

    Mansoor DelaneNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 21

    Dylan Theeneman. They are going to take the safety from Oregon.

    Dillon ThienemanPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+39.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9

    So Francis Mawanoa, the tackle from Miami is going to be the pick here

    Francis MauigoaKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+39.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    let's get Jeremiah Love... Jeremiah Love, to me, is the best player on the board here. And he falls to five because of the position

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 12Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked at number 73

    So I would say let's go with it sounds like Mike Washington is the pick here

    Mike WashingtonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 11

    Caleb Downs is still on the clock at eleven... I went ahead and picked Caleb Downs as we were talking

    Caleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 96Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 10

    and then spent Stefano went at ten

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 88Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    Montessori DeLayne went to nine

    Mansoor Delane

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 92Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 8

    So Miami trade up and, picked Francis Margoa.

    Francis MauigoaMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Miss · 0Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Aaron Anderson to be picked at number 172

    One seventy two, one ninety, no wide receiver so far... Yeah. Let's go Anderson.

    Aaron AndersonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked “within the top 12” (picks 1–12)

    If you want to get Caleb Downs, this is probably the place to get him because at twelve is is where he's gonna go.

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 18, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    if a top edge rusher isn't there at eight, it it feels very much like Jordan Tyson would be the guy that makes at least the most sense as of right now

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 18, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Todd HendricksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    I I think he's if he's there and and the saints take him at eight, I'm not gonna be upset at it. I I think that's gonna be a huge home run.

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 18, 2026the article →
  • Close · 46Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 150

    Back on the board at 01:50... Jeremiah Wright's still on the board. I think that makes us a good call

    Jeremiah WrightNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Close · 71Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 75

    and then 75, we hope Kieran Crawford's still there... go ahead and roll Crawford

    Keyron CrawfordNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 84Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Pat Coogan to be picked at number 190

    Pat Coogan, it is.

    Pat CooganNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Miss · 2Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Tim Keenan to be picked at number 135

    the Saints are back on the board at one thirty five... Alright. Rolling with Keenan.

    Tim KeenanNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season

    Eli Stowers to be picked “second round (pick 42 area)” (picks 33–64)

    So we went ahead and went with Stowers.

    Eli StowersNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.17 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.