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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,348
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
213

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,348

graded

1,429 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2747 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1701–1725 of 4,348

  • Hit · 81Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 14

    The Ravens, you know, start what's going to be a run of tackles with Spencer Fano

    Spencer FanoBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    Bain ends up going the next pick... But New Orleans still hasn't resigned Cam Jordan... I think there's eight really standout players in this draft, and you took him in the top eight in a row

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Now you have styles going to the Giants... they will have an opportunity at five to add to that defense

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 25

    Caden Proctor from Alabama to the Bears... I think at twenty five that's really good value on Proctor

    Kadyn ProctorChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 27Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Lee Hunter to be picked at number 19

    Lee Hunter from Texas Tech going to the Panthers

    Lee HunterCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    You keep the Ohio State train going at number seven. It's Caleb Downs... the Commanders going with Caleb Downs

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    at number two to the Jets... We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28

    you had Caleb Lomu the tackle going to the Texans at twenty eight

    Caleb LomuHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    come back with the Chiefs on the clock at number nine... So they get the best corner in the draft in Mansor Delaine

    Mansoor DelaneKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 42Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 32

    you wrap up the draft at thirty two with Brandon Sisay, the South Carolina cornerback... they just lost Reek Woollan to free agency

    Brandon CisseSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    The Bucks are up next at fifteen, and you haven't taken a key messador from Miami.

    Akheem Mesidor

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 23

    Blake Miller from Clemson. You know the Eagles... find their replacement potentially for Lane Johnson here

    Blake MillerPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Colton Hood to be picked at number 30

    The Dolphins take Colton Hood, the Tennessee cornerback, at thirty

    Colton HoodMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    that's why he's worthy of the sixth overall pick in this draft... Carnell Tate, you have going to the Browns

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    You have them going to the Titans... that's at number four, so your Reese falls to them

    Arvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31

    Patriots at thirty one, take Clemson edge TJ. Parker

    T.J. ParkerNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at a slot they never named

    Did you consider taking Kenyan Sadik the tight end for the Texans at twenty eight instead he goes to the Chiefs

    Kenyon SadiqKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22

    The Chargers are up next. You have them taking another wide receiver Omar Cooper... That's why it fits here, I think at twenty two.

    Omar CooperLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 35Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 17

    The Casius Howell pick to the Lions at seventeen

    Cashius HowellDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16

    if we're recapping the sixteenth to twenty picks, you had Lemon to the Jets... Makai Lemon out of usc

    Makai LemonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 10

    Instead you have him taking a cornerback Jermad McCoy from Tennessee

    Jermod McCoyCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 27

    the forty nine ers you have. Taking Keldrick Falk kind of a divisive prospect

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13

    You have the Rams up next at thirteen, taking Francis Mauiinoa from Miami

    Francis MauigoaLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21

    So maybe that's why the Steelers. You have another tackle off the board, Monroe Freeling.

    Monroe FreelingPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12

    I wouldn't have been surprised though, if you had put Dylan Theeneman to the Bengals at twelve. At ten instead he goes to the Cowboys.

    Dillon ThienemanDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.