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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,348
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
213

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,348

graded

1,429 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2747 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1726–1750 of 4,348

  • Close · 57Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12

    I wouldn't have been surprised though, if you had put Dylan Theeneman to the Bengals at twelve. At ten instead he goes to the Cowboys.

    Dillon ThienemanDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 27

    the forty nine ers you have. Taking Keldrick Falk kind of a divisive prospect

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    You went wild Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals at three. The Notre Dame running back

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked “as high as top fifteen; not getting past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties” (picks 1–15)

    No Casey concepts you on. That's where I disagree the most. I think he could go as high as top fifteen... So I don't think he's getting past a lot of receiver needy teams in the late twenties.

    K.C. Concepcion

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24

    you keep the tackle run going. With Max Ianachra from Arizona State... Ianacher with the Browns

    Max IheanachorCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+32.27 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    Number twelve. I think the Cowboys ... They get Jermad McCoy from Tennessee.

    Jermod McCoyDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    number five. I think the Giants get that. Maybe the cleanest player in the draft, sunny styles ... Giants take Sunny Styles

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    Number ten, Caleb Downs, Ohio State ... Caleb Downs stays in state. He goes to the Bengals at ten

    Caleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Number one. Okay, that's the easy one. I'm going to go one for one. Fernando Mendoza ... the most obvious pick outside of Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 16Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 15

    Number fifty Buccaneers draft well safety from Toledo, Emmanuel McNeil. Warren, local kid played in Tampa.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    Number eight. Another Miami Hurricane goes eight, Ruben Bain. Listen, you could say the Saints have a lot of needs, but this kid lives in the backfield.

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    number eleven, Well, defensive head coach, they need a lot but mansour Delaye the LSU corner ... I think Miami goes for a lockdown guy

    Mansoor DelaneMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9

    Number nine. See this seems obvious. Spencer Fino to tackle from Utah to Kansas City ... I think he goes nine to Kansas City Spencer Fane.

    Spencer FanoKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    Number thirty McKay lemon wide receiver USC ... McKay lemon walks in day one. He'll figure the playbook out in three practices.

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    number six. The best receiver in this draft is Carneal Tate and Cleveland's got an egregiously bad wide receiving corps

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    Number two, I think the Jet take a big swing on Rvel Reese, who's one of the youngest prospects in the draft.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 3

    Number three. So Arizona, seeing that Bailey is now available David Bailey Texas Tech, they will then draft David Bailey because they have a pass rush issue.

    David BaileyArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    If they get Bailey number four, then I think the Titans will take Jeremiah Love ... He goes four to the Tennessee Titans

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 14

    Number fourteen ravens Lamar Jackson last year pressured on twenty six percent of his throw career high. They go get Monroe Freeling, Georgia. Tackle

    Monroe FreelingBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 7

    number seven. Well, Jaden Daniels needs protection. Laramie Tonzel meet Francis Mawiinoah Miami ... He goes seven to the Commanders.

    Francis MauigoaWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+43.57 skillsaid Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “goes to the Giants”

    Styles goes to the giant. That's what I think is gonna happen anyway.

    Sonny Styles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)

    Jordan Tyson, listen. I'm hearing that his medicals actually came back pretty good this pre draft process. If that's true, then I think Jordan Tyson is certainly firmly back in that top 15, window.

    Jordyn Tyson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Anthony ArmstrongMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeff Caldwell to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)

    Caldwell being six five, he'd be a first rounder in my Madden franchises with my friends... his own field production hasn't matched, so he's gonna get picked up in the third, fourth round. He's gonna be an experimental guy.

    Jeff Caldwell

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cade McDonald to be picked “round one”

    unless that guy is just an absolute m f for like Cade McDonald who it seems like he's gonna go round one as a run defender

    Cade McDonald

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Domonique Orange to be picked “day two”

    So he is he is seen squarely as a round two player or or at the very least, not not a round two player, but a day two player. So he's going on day two

    Domonique Orange

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 9, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.