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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 10, 2025

Guest host Tom Pelissero laid out their ten biggest pre-draft questions, predicting Cam Ward goes No. 1 overall to the Titans, doubting five quarterbacks go in round one, and saying it's more likely than not that Kirk Cousins is not a starter next season while calling them staying as Falcons backup all year the least likely outcome.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 1What happenedmocked at 1
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

The Titans, again, nothing final, but we anticipate it's Cam Ward at number one overall because they just can't pass up that quarterback.
Our reading: Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
The episode
NFL Draft Storyline Power Rankings
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

23 calls from 19 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Tom Pelissero said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Tom Pelissero — 1 overall pickthe room — 23 calls from 19 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.