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Tom Pelissero· Apr 10, 2025

Guest host Tom Pelissero laid out his ten biggest pre-draft questions, predicting Cam Ward goes No. 1 overall to the Titans, doubting five quarterbacks go in round one, and saying it's more likely than not that Kirk Cousins is not a starter next season while calling him staying as Falcons backup all year the least likely outcome.

“The Titans, again, nothing final, but we anticipate it's Cam Ward at number one overall because they just can't pass up that quarterback.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

23 calls from 19 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Tom Pelissero said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Tom Pelissero — 1 overall pickthe room — 23 calls from 19 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    “The Titans, again, nothing final, but we anticipate it's Cam Ward at number one overall because they just can't pass up that quarterback.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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