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Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 25, 2025

Schrager stopped short of calling it inevitable but said Cam Ward will very likely be the first overall pick, and noted they already viewed Ward as the first quarterback off the board (ranking them seventh overall among prospects).

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
37.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I wouldn't say it's inevitable, but I would say it's very likely that cam Ward will be the first overall pick.
Peter Schrager, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Greatest SEGMENT EVER! Should Titans pick Cam Ward? Should Shedeur Sanders WANT the Giants?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 25, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“I wouldn't say it's inevitable, but I would say it's very likely that cam Ward will be the first overall pick.”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board“knowing he was going to be the first quarterback taken, I said, but he's not the best player in this draft”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cam Ward to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—10024.2+75.8
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10037.1

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 37.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

25 calls from 19 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Peter Schrager said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Peter Schrager — 1 overall pickthe room — 25 calls from 19 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 24.2
    100this call24.2a naive guess75.8better than naive1difficulty+75.8skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
    skill:
    75.8
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    24.2
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 37.1

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.