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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2926–2950 of 4,373

  • Close · 68Dane BruglerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    So I don't think it'd be a shock if he ended up going to top 10 this year, especially to your point with how tackle starved a lot of these teams are.

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    the only three first rounders that I would have in this class are McCoy, Avion Tyrell, and Mansoor Delaine

    Jermod McCoy

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    the only three first rounders that I would have in this class are McCoy, Avion Tyrell, and Mansoor Delaine

    Mansoor Delane

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    the only three first rounders that I would have in this class are McCoy, Avion Tyrell, and Mansoor Delaine

    Avieon Terrell

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    I'm becoming less and less convinced that Sunny is even making it out of the top eight at this point.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “a top eight player” (picks 1–8)

    Sonny Styles, the linebacker from Ohio State's a top eight player.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingBucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked “top fifty player”

    He certainly is worthy of being in that conversation as a top fifty player.

    Omar Cooper

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingBucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “eight to nine”

    there's a sweet spot for him to come off the board, and I would say this sweet spot is eight to nine

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingRhett LewisMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Elijah Sarratt to be picked “day two”

    we'll see his buddy Elijah Surant a little bit later on in the draft, but I think probably on day two

    Elijah Sarratt

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rhett LewisMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    He is clearly a top fifty player. DJ has him as a top twenty player. Bucky. To me, that's a first round pick right there.

    Omar Cooper

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    he's slotted He's going to the Raiders. Let's go to pick number two... But Mendoza there's not a debate about where he's going to go in this class.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rhett LewisMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    showed you just about everything you could ever want to see from a quarterback prospect that is likely going to go number one overall

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “drafted sooner than when you drafted Gibbs”

    the concept of a running back, you don't choose a running back that high. And I think Love would definitely be drafted sooner than when you drafted Gibbs.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    the biggest story of this combine coming in isn't, you know, the first overall selection because it's Fernando Mendoza. I think it's going to be him.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten pick more than likely” (picks 1–10)

    But Jeremiah Love, who will be a top ten pick more than likely.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked “second round pick all day every day” (picks 33–64)

    Jeneium Price has a chance to maybe he could potentially get into the back of the first round, but I think he's a second round pick all day every day.

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 31Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 40

    So you know, I have up updated list that's out there now. My initial list. He was my fortieth player. He's still around that range for me

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat GustavsonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “the last 10 picks of the first round” (picks 1–32)

    I think he's the kind of guy that a team will jump in the last 10 picks of the first round and take perhaps the Jets.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel WadeMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked “a very obvious pick”

    if you're the Raiders, you know, Fernando Mendoza is going to be a very obvious pick, and I'm sure there's a lot of NFL writers that mean, like, I got this one.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 22

    So it's pretty surprising to see Daniel Jeremiah pick the chargers to take a star Oregon tight end, Kenyan Sadiq... for twenty second pick, right

    Kenyon SadiqLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mina KimesMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked “the second half of the first round” (picks 1–64)

    Denzel Boston out of Washington is a player I love, in terms of the second half of the first round, for a team like Baltimore that desperately needs red zone size

    Denzel Boston

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingField YatesMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “the floor for Jeremiah Love in this year's draft is number nine to Kansas City”

    I keep thinking to myself personally, though, that the floor for Jeremiah Love in this year's draft is number nine to Kansas City, a player who may well be gone by the time we get there.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I think we have one first round wide receiver that's Kenyan from Oregon who is a he's a athletic freak.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    We know Mendoza is gonna go first. He's not pushing up there, but he puts himself in that conversation as a viable franchise quarterback.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Tim HasselbeckMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I think it will be favorable to Simpson. I think ultimately, probably get him into the first round.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 23, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.