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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2976–3000 of 4,373

  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 4

    Tennessee titans took Carnell Tate out of Ohio State.

    Carnell TateTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+42.66 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 4Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keionte Scott to be picked at number 42

    that is why drafting Miami quarterback Keontay Scott at round two, pick 42

    Keionte ScottNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+42.66 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 17Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked at number 73

    Alright. Round three, pick 73. I went with Notre Dame running back, Guderian Price.

    Jadarian PriceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+42.66 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 22Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Febechi Nwaiwu to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    Finished up, you know, another interior officer lineman here, Fibichi Fibichi, not Nawaboo... Officer guard out of out of Oklahoma. And and that was just me fifth round just doubling up office of lineman.

    Febechi Nwaiwu

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingEric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Connor Lew to be picked “late in the third”

    Connor Lou, center out of Auburn... because of the injury, he slides, and we're able to get him late in the third.

    Connor Lew

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    Cleveland Browns go with Miami offensive lineman Francis Maui Noah

    Francisco MauigoaCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Mike Washington to be picked at number 138

    out of Arkansas, alright, Arkansas, pick one thirty eight in the fourth round, running back, Mike Washington Junior

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Cyrus Allen to be picked at number 170

    Let's take a look at round five. Pick one seventy. ... Going with the Cincinnati wide up, Cyrus Allen.

    Cyrus AllenNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+42.66 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 2

    Ruben Bayne junior, the Miami edge rusher, and David Bailey, the Texas Tech edge rusher, both went off the board back to back at two and three.

    Rueben Bain

    a naive guess scored 50+42.66 skillsaid Feb 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Stacey DalesMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    we're not going to have what we've had traditionally over the last couple of years when you see five guys taken in the first round, you might make the two... And then possibly Ty Simpson, and he's going to be very interesting. He's the quarterback out of Alabama

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 22, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20

    I think I have him as, like, right around 20 overall on my board.

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatty LaneMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Gracen Halton to be picked “further into day two”

    If he goes out there and puts out a good performance ... he could start to see his name kinda move up further into day two

    Gracen Halton

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Malik Muhammad to be picked “a second round guy” (picks 33–64)

    I think if Malik Mohammed can hit four fives, it's gonna be a really, really good number for him. That's gonna help his stock, and he could be a second round guy.

    Malik Muhammad

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8

    Oh, man. Five? Five, six? I had him at eight overall.

    Makai Lemon

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40Kent SwansonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    if he tests the way some people anticipate him testing, I think could sneak his way all the way up into the top 10. That's Kendrick Faulk.

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40Fran DuffyMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    And to your the first part of your question, are you gonna buy that into the top 10? That's the nature of this class ... and Kelder Falk, I think, has that ability to get

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked “to the Titans in mock draft”

    I think I had him go into the titans.

    Rueben BainTennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5

    And you think the Giants at five add him, for for Dart

    Carnell TateNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7

    and Reese drops all the way down to seven

    Arvell Reese

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “outside the first round” (picks 1–32)

    you don't have Ty Simpson being drafted in the first round. You have Mendoza starting the first round off and then zero quarterbacks in your two point o mock draft

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “lock first round grade” (picks 1–32)

    he is the one true running back, that's that's, you know, got a lock first round great across the league

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    He's the first overall pick. Correct? ... he's warranted to be the first overall pick.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    David Bailey to be picked “Jets pick (No. 2 area) in mock draft”

    you've got the Jets having an opportunity to take either Reese or Bailey, and they take Bailey

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Derek BrownMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 13

    I'm gonna take Jermalbroog, Jermaud McCoy corner out of Tennessee

    Jermod McCoyLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+32.42 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    Giants run Selac safety Caleb Downs. The Giants have a lot of pass rushing talent, but they need some help on the back back end

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+31.82 skillsaid Feb 20, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.