Jaime Eisner· Mar 31, 2026
A seven-round Raiders mock draft has Las Vegas taking Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza first overall and adding weapons and defensive depth with its remaining nine picks.
“The Las Vegas Raiders will open the 2026 NFL Draft by selecting their new franchise quarterback.”
published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 10 have settled, averaging 39.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick41 calls from 30 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Jaime Eisner said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Jaime Eisner — 1 overall pickthe room — 41 calls from 30 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pick134They said
62What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 134
“Round 4 (No. 134 overall): Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State”
Miss · 4Scored 4.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.29
- player:
- Davison Igbinosun
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 62
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.42
- predicted pick:
- 134
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.29
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 208
“Round 6 (No. 208 overall): Robert Spears-Jennings, SAF, Oklahoma”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.29
- player:
- Robert Spears-Jennings
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 224
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 50
- predicted pick:
- 208
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.29
Domonique Orange to be picked at number 102
“Round 4 (No. 102 overall): Domonique Orange, IDL, Iowa State”
Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Domonique Orange
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 42.04
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 82
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 42.04
- predicted pick:
- 102
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksMason ReigerLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Mason Reiger to be picked at number 219
“Round 7 (No. 219 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Mason Reiger
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 219
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Round 1 (No. 1 overall): Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksTristan LeighLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Tristan Leigh to be picked at number 175
“Round 5 (No. 175 overall): Tristan Leigh, OT, Clemson”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Tristan Leigh
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 175
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Tyren Montgomery to be picked at number 185
“Round 6 (No. 185 overall): Tyren Montgomery, WR, John Carroll”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Tyren Montgomery
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with TEN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 185
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksDenzel BostonLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 36
“Round 2 (No. 36 overall): Denzel Boston, WR, Washington”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 36
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiah WrightLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 117
“Round 4 (No. 117 overall): Jeremiah Wright, IOL, Auburn”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Jeremiah Wright
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 132
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- 117
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksA.J. HaulcyLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
A.J. Haulcy to be picked at number 67
“Round 3 (No. 67 overall): A.J. Haulcy, SAF, LSU”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- A.J. Haulcy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 78
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 67
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
What others said about the same people
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick.
- Ross JacksonRoster Spot Calls · Jeremiah WrightHit · 100Ross Jackson gives his final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · Denzel BostonHit · 100Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · Denzel BostonHit · 100Reading the Browns' first depth chart, Pedone projects Deshaun Watson as the Week 1 starting quarterback, lays out the full projected starting offensive line with Parker Brailsford as backup center, expects KT Leveston to make the roster as guard depth, and names Jeudy, Concepcion, Boston and Bond as roster locks with Tylan Wallace as the fifth receiver.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.