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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

3201–3225 of 4,373

  • Miss · 8Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Zachariah Branch to be picked at number 21

    Twenty one in Pittsburgh steel There's Zachariah Branch wide receiver, Georgia

    Zachariah Branch

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    So at one we got a radio taken Fernando Mendoza

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    Detroit Lions, Caden Proctor left tackle Alabama

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Caleb Banks to be picked at number 28

    Texans. Take Caleb Banks defensive tackle from Florida

    Caleb BanksHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    Cleveland Browns, Casey Concepcion wide receiver, Texas A and M

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 23

    Philadelphia Eagles, Avion Terreo Clemson

    Avieon TerrellPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “early twenties”

    he is my twenty seventh player. I think I had him going in the early twenties in the mock draft that I did.

    Keldric Faulk

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 13

    La Rams, Jermat McCoy Tennessee

    Jermod McCoy

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 22

    La Charges messador and from Miami

    Akheem Mesidor

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 14

    Baltimore Ravens, Ruben Bain from Miami

    Rueben BainBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    New York Jets, taken Everall Reese

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9

    Kan City Chiefs, Jeremiah Love

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 32

    And Seattle Ceo. It's Denzel Boston wide receiver Washington

    Denzel BostonSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11

    So eleven Miami Dolphins, Kenyon Sadik from Oregon

    Kenyon SadiqMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 5

    New York Giants, Francis Mauigoa

    Francis MauigoaNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+34.42 skillsaid Feb 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    I think Sonny Styles is likely gonna be a top 10 pick in this draft class after he tests because he could run the four threes.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 35Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)

    So those two things, that ability to accelerate, the ability to attack the football, I would bet after this, he's a top 50 pin.

    Malachi Fields

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”

    But I think around, like, late day two, early day three, a guy like Nadame Tucker can come in and immediately be a pass rush help for a lot of teams.

    Nadame Tucker

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 19Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)

    Strong linebacker class, I would bet he is somewhere in the top 100 picks after that tape.

    Kyle LouisPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”

    Probably not gonna get into the top 100 because he's only two seventy five, but a nice intriguing day three pass rusher.

    Kaleb Proctor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    And especially after Amari Watson decided to return to school, I think he is gonna go in the first round. McDonald's gonna go in the first round.

    Cade McDonald

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”

    I don't think he's gonna be a day two guy. I think maybe, like, early day three because, again, there's just the size is going to be a big issue.

    Kevin Coleman

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 3, 2026the article →
  • Close · 42Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 42

    We got Akeem Messador at round two pick 42.

    Akheem MesidorNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Lander Barton to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    Let's finish up the fifth round here after we take Bud Clark ... we're going Lander Barton, the linebacker out of Utah.

    Lander BartonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeffrey M'ba to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)

    We're gonna wrap up here in the sixth round ... and that's Jeffrey Mbah.

    Jeffrey M'baNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.