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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2276–2300 of 4,373

  • Hit · 92Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    I went four Sonny Styles, five with Jeremiah Love

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    Caleb Downs to Washington at seven.

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 27

    I picked 27 for the 40. It's been a common pick for me, Max Ahonetschor... Max Ohanaechor, still my pick in the first round.

    Max IheanachorSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    I went four Sonny Styles, five with Jeremiah Love

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    And Arbel Reese is one of those guys. I got him to the Jets at two.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10

    Then Mansoor Lane corner at pick number 10 to the Cincinnati Bengals.

    Mansoor DelaneCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+44.07 skillsaid Mar 24, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 12Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Julian Neal to be picked “consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade” (picks 1–50)

    If Neil had played another year in the SEC, I think he'd be a consensus top 50 pick. As it is, I think he belongs there... I have an early second round grade.

    Julian Neal

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 13Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 52

    I think there is like a 90% chance he will be there for the Packers at 52.

    Julian Neal

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris BrockmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “Top 15. Top half of the first round.” (picks 1–15)

    I think I think this kid can play, and I think he's gonna be drafted higher than everyone thinks. What is that? Top top of the and a top 15? Top 16? Top 15. Top half of the first round.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked at number 52

    Mike Washington Junior at 52. Grayson Halton, defensive tackle from Oklahoma, who I love.

    Mike WashingtonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50-25 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 37Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Gracen Halton to be picked at number 84

    If he's there at 84, you run the card in

    Gracen HaltonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50-25 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Devin Moore to be picked at number 120

    and Devon Moore, same thing at one twenty. Size, pedigree, athleticism.

    Devin MooreGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50-25 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    They're at number five for the New York Giants linebacker out of Ohio State... here, they go Sonny Styles in the first round.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    I think the pick here is a rare top three right tackle. Francis Maui Goa, right tackle out of Miami, Florida.

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Antonio Williams to be picked at number 71

    with the seventy first overall pick in the NFL draft... we go and get Antonio Williams wide receiver

    Antonio WilliamsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    at number nine, the Washington mayor's draft. Man, Stewart Delaney, cornerback out of LSU in this week's mock draft.

    Mansoor DelaneWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Romello Height to be picked at number 74

    Third round, seventy fourth overall pick... Romello height edge rusher out of Texas Tech.

    Romello HeightWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Number one, Las Vegas Raiders... The pick, Fernando Mendoza, quarterback out of Indiana.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    the best player available on the board to me is Ohio State linebacker slash edge, whatever you wanna call him, R. Vell Reese. So that is the number two pick in this mock draft.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Austin Barber to be picked at number 147

    Pick number one forty seven. We go offensive line here. Austin Barber offensive tackle out of Florida

    Austin BarberWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 1David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zavion Thomas to be picked at number 209

    Number 209, our second pick in the sixth round, wide receiver, Zavion Thomas.

    Zavion ThomasWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 10David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 187

    Pick number one eighty seven, Armaje Reed Adams, guard out of Texas A and M

    Ar'maj Reed-AdamsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    Number four... Jeremiah Love, running back Notre Dame to the Tennessee titans.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 7

    They send number nine... to the Washington match for pick number seven... They take David Bailey.

    David BaileyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6

    they trade up with the Cleveland Browns... for the number six overall pick... they take Miami Edge, Reuben Bain Junior

    Rueben BainDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+40.89 skillsaid Mar 23, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.