Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,373
- Graded
- 2,919
- Average accuracy
- 66.0
- Pundits
- 215
67% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,919 / 4,373
graded
1,454 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261534 of 2772 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman76 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+47.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+45.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+44.1
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+42.8
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+41.8
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.1
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+40.0
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Lance Zierlein61 accuracy · 27 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.2
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+39.1
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+38.9
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+37.1
- Scott Bogman71 accuracy · 33 graded+37.1
- Brandon Carney81 accuracy · 18 graded+36.9
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+34.9
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.5
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+34.2
- Pat Fitzmaurice74 accuracy · 42 graded+34.1
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+33.0
- Field Yates83 accuracy · 30 graded+33.0
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+32.7
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.7
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+31.2
- Bucky Brooks82 accuracy · 99 graded+30.1
- Ayrton Ostly59 accuracy · 14 graded+30.0
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+29.6
- Emory Hunt50 accuracy · 9 graded+29.2
- Daniel Jeremiah73 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta67 accuracy · 69 graded+20.5
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+19.1
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+16.4
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB24 mocksmocked around 15 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Emmanuel PregnonG7 mocksmocked around 35 · went at 88
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.9 · 232 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.5 · 233 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)63.4 · 13 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)67.5 · 95 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)84.6 · 34 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)70.1 · 72 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)78.7 · 232 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)72.4 · 350 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)69.6 · 212 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Sports Illustrated50.0 · 4 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
- CBS Sports36.9 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
2326–2350 of 4,373
Skyler Gill-Howard to be picked “squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three”
now it looks like he is squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three, and I think that's a great value pickup
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “a day three guy”
I do think he's gonna be a day three guy that they should have their eyes on as well.
Rayshaun Benny to be picked “end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three”
One guy that stands out to me that is likely to be an end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three, is Rayshawn Benny from Michigan.
Carson Beck to be picked “no later than the third round” (picks 65–100)
I would I would be shocked if Carson Beck made it past the third round.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Tyson's gonna go in the first round. A 100%. ... Some team is gonna take Ty Simpson, in the first two rounds
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 27
I would say the the 40 nine's are probably gonna take him if he's there.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “before No. 27 overall”
I think the biggest question mark about Monroe Freeling is is is he going to be available when the 40 pick at 27? And I I personally think that that answer is no.
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17
who Mel Kuiper mock to the lions in his latest draft at pick number 17, Kaiden Proctor
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17
Colton Pouncey, mocked, Caleb Lomu from Utah to the Detroit Lions ... a guy that is deemed, viable at the seventeenth pick
Blake Miller to be picked at number 17
Who did the oh, Joel Clatt with Fox Sports said Blake Miller, offensive tackle out of Clemson.
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
One more from Daniel Jeremiah on NFL dot com. Monroe Freeling, the tackle out of Georgia.
- Miss · 28Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Josiah Trotter to be picked at number 75
it has them taking Josiah Trotter, linebacker at a Missouri with the seventy fifth overall pick
Josiah TrotterLos Angeles Rams
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 16Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Micah Morris to be picked at number 250
And then around seven, number two fifty overall, Micah Morris guard out of Georgia
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Mason Reiger to be picked at number 232
and round seven, number two thirty two, you had Mason Reager edge out of Wisconsin
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Charles Demings to be picked at number 162
Round five, number one sixty two, they have Charles Demings quarterback, Steven f Austin. And this is kind of cornerback later.
Charles DemingsLos Angeles Rams
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 7Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Malik Benson to be picked at number 255
Also round seven, number two fifty five. They have Malik Benson, wide receiver, Oregon.
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 10Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Eli Raridon to be picked at number 149
Then round five, number one forty nine via the dolphins, Eli, or read on a tight end at a Notre Dame.
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 100
And then the number 100 overall pick round three via the Jaguars. They've got the Rams taking Garrett and us Meyer quarterback out of LSU.
Garrett NussmeierLos Angeles Rams
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - Hit · 81Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13
Round one, number 13, overall via the Falcons... It has them selecting Jordan Tyson wide receiver, Arizona state.
a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026 - PendingLocked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Victor Payne to be picked “round six”
Then round six, they got VJ pain safety out of Kansas state
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 20, 2026 Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
Do you feel better to taking Carneal tape at six? ... Yeah, and I ended up putting Cornel tape in my last one.
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked “day two mix”
but also said that branch, that right branch had a phenomenal workout, so he'll be He'll be in that day too. Mix
Makai Lemon to be picked “first round selection” (picks 1–32)
We'll discuss why both could be first round picks ... I think you'd have to go at eight for him
Chris Bell to be picked at number 42
Then we go with Chris Bell in the second round in with that wide receiver ... If he's still on the board at 42 run the card up.
Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 132
Then round four, pick one thirty two, you go with Kean Crawford right there.
By topic
NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)
Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.