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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2351–2375 of 4,373

  • Miss · 7Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Chris Bell to be picked “a bottom of the first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    And so a guy like Chris Bell, if he's healthy enough to go, could be a bottom of the first round pick.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keyron Crawford to be picked “late in day two or potentially early day three”

    a sleeper edge rusher to watch late in day two or potentially early day three is Auburn edge rusher, Kieran Crawford

    Keyron Crawford

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    a look at LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine and why he could still be a stellar selection for the Saints as early as number eight overall ... The first round pick, let's say Mansour Delaine, the LSU cornerback.

    Mansoor Delane

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    This is obviously operating on your assumption that the Raiders draft Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick. That feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 18, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine”

    I'm not even certain Jarah at this point, it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100LaQuan JonesMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    So I think Love goes to the Giants top five pick.

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike FlorioMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten pick in the real life draft” (picks 1–10)

    He's going to top ten pick in the real life draft. I comp him to a faster Le'Veon Bell.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 8Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked “probably a second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    So he's the only other player that I think we could look at right now is saying probably a second round pick for Mike Washington

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked “he will not get very far out of the top five” (picks 1–5)

    I have a strong feeling that he will not get very far out of the top five.

    Francis Mauigoa

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked “a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick” (picks 1–40)

    And Jarian Price should be a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick.

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “more round two than round one”

    it feels like a game of musical chairs where the the ideal spots for him might be more round two than round one

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “anywhere from four to seven”

    So I think Love could go anywhere from four to seven. I don't know that, you know, he gets out of that window right now.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked “from four to nine”

    So I think the window for Carnell Tate is is really it's from four to nine.

    Carnell Tate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223

    going to the seventh round ... It's pick two twenty three. We go Roman Hemby running back out of Indiana

    Roman HembyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10

    we were left with cornerback Mansour Delaine out of LSU, and that's the route we took... pick number ten

    Mansoor DelaneWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jager Burton to be picked at number 147

    In the fifth round, the only pick that is the same in both mock dress. Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky ... in the fifth round, pick one forty seven

    Jager BurtonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 30David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187

    Six round pick number one eighty seven went linebacker in both ... we pivoted to Harold Perkins Junior

    Harold PerkinsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)

    Robert Spears Jennings, safety out of Oklahoma was the second [sixth round pick]

    Robert Spears-JenningsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 48David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 41

    In the second round, pick number 41 ... We end up with wide receiver KC Concepcion out of Texas a and m.

    K.C. ConcepcionWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    and Caleb downs to the Bengals

    Caleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    And then Jeremiah Love at four to the Titans.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    I have him at fulk is thirty two... literally he's on the borderline for me of you know is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    sunny styles the big linebacker from Ohio State going to the Giants at five

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 31

    Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle, is now in your mock going to the Patriots. At thirty one

    Cade McDonaldNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board at... thirteen to the rams

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.