Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,373
- Graded
- 2,919
- Average accuracy
- 66.0
- Pundits
- 215
67% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,919 / 4,373
graded
1,454 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261534 of 2772 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman76 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+47.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+45.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+44.1
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+42.8
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+41.8
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.1
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+40.0
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Lance Zierlein61 accuracy · 27 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.2
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+39.1
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+38.9
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+37.1
- Scott Bogman71 accuracy · 33 graded+37.1
- Brandon Carney81 accuracy · 18 graded+36.9
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+34.9
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.5
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+34.2
- Pat Fitzmaurice74 accuracy · 42 graded+34.1
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+33.0
- Field Yates83 accuracy · 30 graded+33.0
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+32.7
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.7
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+31.2
- Bucky Brooks82 accuracy · 99 graded+30.1
- Ayrton Ostly59 accuracy · 14 graded+30.0
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+29.6
- Emory Hunt50 accuracy · 9 graded+29.2
- Daniel Jeremiah73 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta67 accuracy · 69 graded+20.5
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+19.1
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+16.4
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB24 mocksmocked around 15 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Emmanuel PregnonG7 mocksmocked around 35 · went at 88
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.9 · 232 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.5 · 233 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)63.4 · 13 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)67.5 · 95 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)84.6 · 34 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)70.1 · 72 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)78.7 · 232 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)72.4 · 350 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)69.6 · 212 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Sports Illustrated50.0 · 4 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
- CBS Sports36.9 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
2426–2450 of 4,373
- Hit · 100Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks2026 season
Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I have the four niners going to Omar Cooper Junior.
a naive guess scored 50+35.01 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026 - PendingPushing the PileMock Draft Picks2026 season
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14
14, Baltimore Ravens ... they get Francis Maui Noah here, the Miami offensive lineman
Francisco MauigoaBaltimore Ravens
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026 Chris Johnson to be picked at number 41
Second round, forty first overall pick is when we take Chris Johnson... Chris Johnson, cornerback out of San Diego State
Vincent Anthony to be picked “seventh round” (picks 217–257)
We wrap it all up with a potential big edge of the future, you know, developmental seventh round guy, Vincent Anthony Junior, edge rusher out of Duke.
Trey Moore to be picked at number 187
sixth round, pick number one eighty seven linebacker Trey Moore out of Texas comes in
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10
which means that pick number 10, we take wide receiver Carnell Tate in the first round
Victor Payne to be picked at number 209
pick two zero nine, we come back, Vijay Payne... VJ Payne, safety out of Kansas State
Jager Burton to be picked at number 147
Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky is sitting there... he's sitting there at one forty seven for us to take, and we absolutely take Jagger Burton
Jeremiah Wright to be picked “day three guys”
or Armaud Reid Adams, Jeremiah Wright, who could be day three guys
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8
we're starting at wide receiver. I went with Ohio State wide up, Karnell Tate ... round one, pick eight in our mock draft
Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137
Round four, pick 137. Just barely making the turn here. Penn State running back. I'm gonna go with Caitron Allen this time.
Jager Burton to be picked at number 132
So round four, pick one thirty two. I went with Kentucky center, Jager Burton.
Treydan Stukes to be picked “round three”
was able to go and get that in round three with Trajan Stukes out of Arizona
Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 42
UCF Edge rusher, Malachi Lawrence at round two, pick 42
Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 170
Let's take a look at, round five. Pick one seventy here. Wrapping up round five, Texas A and M offensive lineman, Armaj Reid Adams.
Tacario Davis to be picked at number 189
Washington quarterback Takario Davis wraps us up. Round six, pick one eighty nine.
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “round one, round two”
whether it's the Penn State, Vague Aione, or maybe it's Oregon's, Emmanuel Pregnant, who are guys that are gonna go round one, round two in this year's draft
DeMonte Capehart to be picked at number 148
round five pick one forty eight, we're going with Clemson defensive tackle, Demontae Capehart
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “round one, round two”
maybe it's Oregon's, Emmanuel Emmanuel Pregnant, who are guys that are gonna go round one, round two in this year's draft
- Hit · 100Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Peter Woods to be picked at number 29
You've also got, Peter Woods at 29. It's your original pick at 29.
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026 - Miss · 24Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Gracen Halton to be picked at number 74
So I'm just gonna go with my gut on this one and take Grayson Halton at 74.
Gracen HaltonKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026 - Miss · 0Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Mikail Kamara to be picked at number 109
So I'm gonna go and take Kamara. So that gets you to pick one nineteen.
Mikail KamaraKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026 - Miss · 13Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Jalon Kilgore to be picked at number 119
I'm going to go ahead and go DB at this point and add Kilgore to this Chiefs roster
Jalon KilgoreKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026 - Miss · 37Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Anthony Hill to be picked at number 83
I'm going to go ahead and go with Anthony Hill junior at this point at 83.
Anthony HillKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026 - Miss · 8Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2026 season
Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 167
Kade Clubnick is sitting right there at, you know, pick one sixty seven. You could take him... So I'm gonna go and draft Clubnik at this point.
Cade KlubnikKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 50+47.62 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026
By topic
NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)
Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.