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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
33% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
351 / 1,058
graded
707 still pending
By season
201–225 of 1,058
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South — Houston Texans (+105) Dajani: "I liked the Houston Texans defense better than the Seattle Seahawks defense last year!"
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.
Houston Texans to win the division
The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
Los Angeles Rams (-105) Prisco: "Dream team. Dream team. The talent is there, but it won't be easy in that brutal division."
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo Bills (-136) ... Prisco: "They will give this team back to Josh Allen. The aggression will be back."
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo gave Allen his first legit WR1 since Stefon Diggs, and if Jim Leonhard's defense is even marginally better, that means Allen doesn't have to put the team on his shoulders come January.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.
Houston Texans to win the division
I have the Texans winning the AFC South
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I have the Bills winning the AFC East
Detroit Lions to win the division
14. Lions (No. 14; 0-0): Falling into a fourth-place schedule gives them the inside track to winning the division.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
AFC East. I'm just betting on Josh Allen until I'm wrong... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
But I love the Bengals this year. I love them... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.
Denver Broncos to win the division
The AFC West, I'm just going to ride Denver.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans...
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
In the NFC, I've been hammering this for a while... I'm taking the Cowboys.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I don't like the Saints. I love the Saints... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans.
Detroit Lions to win the division
The NFC North, who I'd probably pick to be the one seed... In the NFC, I think I'd go Detroit.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo enters the season with the highest division odds (56%) of any team, with a weaker AFC East making the Bills seem like a near-playoff lock for the eighth straight season.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
holding a robust 73% chance to claim the AFC North
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
I it's the Rams, and, I mean, they're an absolute wagon
Denver Broncos to win the division
I'm also picking the Broncos to win the AFC West.
Houston Texans to win the division
I'm going with the Texans as well... yeah, give me the Texans. I think they're an absolute wagon.
Houston Texans to win the division
Easily, my choice here, I have them as the two seed.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
I also have the cowboys winning. The NFC east