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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,373
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,373

graded

1,454 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2772 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2701–2725 of 4,373

  • Close · 77Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 25

    there have been people talking about, like, Monroe Freeling and Caden Proctor who are tackles out of the SEC ... How do you feel about twenty five and thirty one?

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50+19.05 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24

    there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 31

    Monroe Freeling and Caden Proctor who are tackles out of the SEC ... How do you feel about twenty five and thirty one?

    Kadyn Proctor

    a naive guess scored 50+19.05 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    he has Malagua going six to the Browns, and he is the only tackle that he has in the top 22 picks

    Francis MauigoaCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+19.05 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 23

    there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24

    Blake Miller

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingTucker FranklinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “gone before the No. 9 pick”

    I it feels like if Jeremiah Love is at nine, it's a it's an upset. I would agree with that.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    The only thing we know for certain is for Mendoza is going number one.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked “lock top ten pick” (picks 1–10)

    Caleb Downs I didn't even think did that much at the combine. Don't blame him, He's a lock top ten pick

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)

    Sadik. I mean that's I don't know if he's gonna go top five, but he's going in the top ten.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “not sniffing falling out of the top ten; goes as high as four with the Giants, farthest fall would be the Saints at eight” (picks 1–10)

    So I think the I think Jeremiah lovkick goes high as four with the Titans, I mean the Giants... I think the farthest key word of quote unquote fall would be the Saints at eight... he's not sniffing falling out of the of the top ten.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked “top twenty” (picks 1–20)

    And Carnel Tate same thing. He's gonna go in the top twenty.

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)

    Monroe Freelee not getting anywhere near 27 and and might not get out of the top 15 crocs.

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 31Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jalon Kilgore to be picked “early on in the fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    you knew I had to get one more impact player in here early on in the fourth round... South Carolina cornerback, Jalen Kilgore

    Jalon KilgoreNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Lomu to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)

    Saddiq, Monroe Freeling, Caleb Lomu. I wouldn't be shocked if all of them are not only gone, but, like, top 15 even potentially.

    Caleb Lomu

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    Kenyan Saddiq, the tiedin.org, will not sniff pick 27... He might go top 10 like like, Colson Loveland did.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked “gone before pick 27”

    I still don't think he gets to the 40 at at pick 27 though either.

    Spencer Fano

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8

    Round one, pick number eight. I have the New Orleans Saints in our post combine mock draft taking Jeremiah Love, the running back out of Notre Dame.

    Jeremiyah LoveNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 23Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bryce Lance to be picked at number 170

    at pick one seventy in the fifth round, I went with North Dakota State University wide receiver, Bryce Lance

    Bryce LanceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 73

    Let's go to round three. Pick 73... is UCF edge rusher Malachi Lawrence.

    Malachi LawrenceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Lorenzo Styles to be picked “sixth or seventh round” (picks 182–257)

    I think that four two seven, though, is gonna create a situation like this where somebody's gonna take that swing in the sixth or seventh round.

    Lorenzo StylesNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jalen Farmer to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    In the fourth round, we doubled up with Jalen Kilgore, the cornerback out of South Carolina, as well as Kentucky offensive lineman, Jalen Farmer.

    Jalen FarmerNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Chris Bell to be picked at number 42

    Chris Bell, the wide receiver out of Louisville, who we're taking in our mock draft today at round two, pick 42

    Chris BellNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “a potential top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    a Morgan Freleng who has been, you know, taking over all of the draft conversation right now as a potential top 10 pick

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bryce Boettcher to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    Round five, I went with Oregon... Oregon linebacker, Bryce Bochum.

    Bryce BoettcherNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingEric CrockerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “gone before the 49ers' pick at No. 27”

    One, the 40 nighters will have zero chance at. Right? The running back out of Notre Dame love. I think we all thought, like, he was a top 10 pick.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.