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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,385
Graded
2,919

67% settled

Average accuracy
66.0

out of 100

Pundits
215

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1460 scored 80+711 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,919 / 4,385

graded

1,466 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261534 of 2784 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321676 picks · off by 10 on average76.3 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10094 picks · off by 33 on average38.7 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1676 first-round picks the average score is 76.3, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

3476–3500 of 4,385

  • Close · 74Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jalon Walker to be picked at number 8

    Number six the Panthers Jaylon Walker. I mean again, it's another Georgia pass rusher.

    Jalon WalkerCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Close · 74Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Armand Membou to be picked at number 14

    number fourteenth pick. The Colts will take, in their eyes, the best player available. Armand Membo from Missouri.

    Armand MembouIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11

    Number eleven nine Ers, I think they get Kelvin Banks left tackle.

    Kelvin Banks Jr.

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Close · 65Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 12

    Number twelve Cowboys Omario Hampton.

    Omarion HamptonDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 96Joel KlattMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5

    Genti's going five Jacksonville.

    Ashton JeantyJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 15

    then number fifteen the Falcons take Jahad Campbell.

    Jihaad CampbellAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    Number one cam Ward. This is an easy one, good fit with Brian Callahan's offense

    Cam WardTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3

    I think the New York Giants are gonna go get Abdul Carter.

    Abdul CarterNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Colston Loveland to be picked at number 13

    I think number thirteen we have our first trade up. I think the Rams trade up with Miami... and get Colston Lovelin the tight end

    Colston LovelandLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Will Campbell to be picked at number 4

    Patriots go offensive tackle Will Campbell. LSU.

    Will CampbellNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Mason Graham to be picked at number 5

    Number five, the Jaguars go for one of the cleaner players in the draft Mason Graham.

    Mason GrahamJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Joel KlattMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Armand Membou to be picked at number 10

    Mimbo does not get past the Bears. There's no chance Mimbo is going to be a top ten pick... watch out for Mimbo. In the top ten

    Armand MembouChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joel KlattMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3

    I would be shocked if New York doesn't select him at three.

    Abdul Carter

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Close · 74Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7

    number seven, the Jets go for Tyler Warren.

    Tyler WarrenNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6

    Number six the Raiders. I believe they're going to get Ashton Genty.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Will Johnson to be picked at number 10

    Number ten the Bears... I think the Bears are gonna get will Johnson the corner.

    Will JohnsonChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+38.04 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris BrockmanMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Will Campbell to be picked at number 4

    Even if Abdul Carter is there, they're still taking Will Campbell

    Will CampbellNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3

    he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti

    Abdul Carter

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second

    Travis Hunter

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 96Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.

    Ashton Jeanty

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti

    Travis Hunter

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5

    he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti

    Ashton Jeanty

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Will Campbell to be picked at number 4

    he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti

    Will Campbell

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Ian RapoportMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    I think, but don't know, that Travis Hunter is probably the best guest to go there... right now, it's the Browns, and I would say likely, probably Browns.

    Travis HunterCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 24, 2025the article →

By topic

NFL — mock draft picks (3000 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.