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Power Rankings

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
550
Graded
162

29% settled

Average accuracy
63.0

out of 100

Pundits
117

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
58 scored 80+35 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

162 / 550

graded

388 still pending

By season

  • 20208 of 8 graded
  • 20211 of 1 graded
  • 20231 of 1 graded
  • 202422 of 22 graded
  • 2025130 of 131 graded
  • 20260 of 387 graded

Who is good at power rankings

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every power rankings take

451–475 of 550

  • Hit · 90Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.

    a naive guess scored 70+40 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 90-60 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got them one, Baltimore two, Pittsburgh rounding it out at three. And yes, the Cleveland Brown's kicking the can at four

    a naive guess scored 90-60 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 75LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two... Outside of the lonely number four Las Vegas Raiders

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 75+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I have New England at the bottom, all the way at the bottom... the New York Jets won't be far off from them... the runner up are the Fins. Yeah, the Miami Dolphins. I got the mat number two, and that means that Buffalo is going to win the AFC East

    a naive guess scored 40+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got the Texans winning it... I put the Jags at too... But I got Tennessee at three and I got Indy at four.

    a naive guess scored 70+20 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    In the West, I have Arizona winning the West... I believe Seattle will finish last

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 75LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got Philly winning it. I got Washington second... except I have the Giants third, and I have Dallas bringing up the rear

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 75+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I have Tampa Bay winning it. I have Atlanta bringing up second. Carolina will add out New Orleans for third, while New Orleans will fit there's fourth.

    a naive guess scored 90+20 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25LaVar ArringtonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got Green Bay bringing up second, Detroit falls the third, and the Bears. They will be fourth in the NFC North

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 25+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division... I would have taken the LA Rams, but I'm not sold on Matthew Stafford... followed by the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 75-100 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 90Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.

    a naive guess scored 10+160 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 90Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.

    a naive guess scored 90+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 90Jonas KnoxPower Rankings2025 season

    I'm going to go with Atlanta winning the NFC South, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers, and the New Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 90+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 65Richard ShermanPower Rankings2025 season

    Top five power Ranks National Football League we're gonna go Philadelphia Eagles won, Baltimore two, Bill's three, Kansas City four or Detroit five.

    a naive guess scored 40+50 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 70TJ JeffersonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got the Jets coming in fourth. Brotman, I'm sorry. I got the Pats third... And then, of course, you know my guy, Josh Allen... So I got the Bills wrapped in this thing.

    a naive guess scored 40+60 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Chris BrockmanPower Rankings2025 season

    I got Miami fourth... Vibes are a little higher in New York. So I'm just gonna put them third, Dolphins fourth, Patriots second... this is the Bills division

    a naive guess scored 40+80 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Chris BrockmanPower Rankings2025 season

    I got Vikings three, Bears four... I'm going Packers win in the North.

    a naive guess scored 10+60 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 30Rich EisenPower Rankings2025 season

    that's where I'm putting the Vikings... And I have the Packers too, and I have the Lions one... And I like the Bears as well, to finish fourth.

    a naive guess scored 10+40 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 30TJ JeffersonPower Rankings2025 season

    I got the bears fourth... I got the vikings finishing third... I'm gonna put the Packers in it too... I just don't see any reason not to believe that the Lions are gonna take this.

    a naive guess scored 10+40 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 30Rich EisenPower Rankings2025 season

    Number 10... I'm putting the Broncos number 10... Number nine. I'm putting the Los Angeles chargers here... Number eight, I'm putting their co tenants, the Los Angeles Rams... Number seven on the list are the Washington Commanders... Number six, I am putting the Green Bay Packers... a power rankings with the Lions fifth... Fourth, the Buffalo Bills... Well, the Ravens are three... Chiefs two... They put Dallas at one rich? ... They're defending champs.

    a naive guess scored 24.24+12.12 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenPower Rankings2025 season

    Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second... And and Denver, I I I, you know, I'm excited.

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 70TJ JeffersonPower Rankings2025 season

    I don't mean any disrespect to Raider nation, but I got you guys coming in fourth... I got the chargers third, the broncos second... I'm sticking with the Chiefs.

    a naive guess scored 60+20 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 70Chris BrockmanPower Rankings2025 season

    The Chargers, I I have them third... Really excited for Omari and Hampton, but they're not quite as good as Denver, who is not quite as good as Kansas City.

    a naive guess scored 60+20 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 75Rich EisenPower Rankings2025 season

    And I'll put the Arizona Cardinals in that spot... But I do have them third. I've got the niner second, and I think the Rams may wind up by the end of the day, the class of the entire conference.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100-50 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →

By topic

NFL — power rankings (162 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.