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Jaime EisnerMar 31, 2026

A seven-round Raiders mock draft projecting Fernando Mendoza first overall to Las Vegas and nine additional picks, including Denzel Boston in Round 2 and A.J. Haulcy in Round 3.

Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original

2 of 10calls landed2 hits · 4 close calls · 4 misses · 1 waiting
39.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 10 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
10 of 11Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jaime Eisner said

The Las Vegas Raiders will open the 2026 NFL Draft by selecting their new franchise quarterback.
Jaime Eisner, the lead quote
Where it was published
The Draft Network
The piece
Raiders 7-Round NFL Mock Draft: March Edition
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidMar 31
  2. GradedAug 15

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks2440
Depth Chart Calls0001
All2441

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

10 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 39.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick

33 calls from 27 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Jaime Eisner said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Jaime Eisner — 1 overall pickthe room — 33 calls from 27 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
67They said
78What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks2 hits · 4 close calls · 4 missesShow ▸
  1. A.J. Haulcy to be picked at number 67

    “Round 3 (No. 67 overall): A.J. Haulcy, SAF, LSU”

    A.J. HaulcyLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 78mocked at 67
    62.09Close

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    A.J. Haulcy
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    78
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    67
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 134

    “Round 4 (No. 134 overall): Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State”

    Davison IgbinosunLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 62mocked at 134
    4.42Miss

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Davison Igbinosun
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    4.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    62
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    4.42
    predicted pick:
    134
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 117

    “Round 4 (No. 117 overall): Jeremiah Wright, IOL, Auburn”

    Jeremiah WrightLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 132mocked at 117
    52.21Close

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Jeremiah Wright
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    132
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    117
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Round 1 (No. 1 overall): Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Mason Reiger to be picked at number 219

    “Round 7 (No. 219 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin”

    Mason ReigerLas Vegas Raiders

    Went undraftedmocked at 219
    0Miss

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Mason Reiger
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    219
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Denzel Boston to be picked at number 36

    “Round 2 (No. 36 overall): Denzel Boston, WR, Washington”

    Denzel BostonLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 39mocked at 36
    87.81Hit

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    36
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Tristan Leigh to be picked at number 175

    “Round 5 (No. 175 overall): Tristan Leigh, OT, Clemson”

    Tristan LeighLas Vegas Raiders

    Went undraftedmocked at 175
    0Miss

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Tristan Leigh
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIN
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    175
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Tyren Montgomery to be picked at number 185

    “Round 6 (No. 185 overall): Tyren Montgomery, WR, John Carroll”

    Tyren MontgomeryLas Vegas Raiders

    Went undraftedmocked at 185
    0Miss

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Tyren Montgomery
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with TEN
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    185
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 208

    “Round 6 (No. 208 overall): Robert Spears-Jennings, SAF, Oklahoma”

    Robert Spears-JenningsLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 224mocked at 208
    50Close

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Robert Spears-Jennings
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    224
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    208
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Domonique Orange to be picked at number 102

    “Round 4 (No. 102 overall): Domonique Orange, IDL, Iowa State”

    Domonique OrangeLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 82mocked at 102
    42.04Close

    mock order 89.29 − 50 for a shuffle = 39.29 × 1 difficulty = +39.29 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    39.29
    player:
    Domonique Orange
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    82
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    102
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    89.29
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Tyren Montgomery to be 4th on the depth chart

    “I think he'll find his way into rotational snaps as a rookie and can be a WR3 or WR4 before the end of his rookie contract for Las Vegas”

    Tyren MontgomeryLas Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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