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Power Rankings

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
550
Graded
162

29% settled

Average accuracy
63.0

out of 100

Pundits
117

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
58 scored 80+35 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

162 / 550

graded

388 still pending

By season

  • 20208 of 8 graded
  • 20211 of 1 graded
  • 20231 of 1 graded
  • 202422 of 22 graded
  • 2025130 of 131 graded
  • 20260 of 387 graded

Who is good at power rankings

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every power rankings take

526–550 of 550

  • Hit · 100Peter SchragerPower Rankings2024 season

    So I go Chargers, Broncos, and then the Steelers.

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 75Kyle BrandtPower Rankings2024 season

    Chargers, Steelers, Broncos most likely in my opinion, to win the conference.

    a naive guess scored 0+75 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle BrandtPower Rankings2024 season

    I got Vikings, Commanders, Packers, go I have Packers three.

    a naive guess scored 25+75 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 99Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Here are our updated power rankings going into the final week of the 2024 season: NFL Week 17 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) ... 32. New York Giants (3-13)

    a naive guess scored 67.38+33.32 skillsaid Dec 31, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 98Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 14 of the 2024 season

    a naive guess scored 67.38+39.39 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 98Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 13 of the 2024 season

    a naive guess scored 67.38+40.37 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenPower Rankings2024 season

    I don't believe I'm gonna have them number one on my power rankings list on Wednesday because I don't believe the Lions performed so poorly in Indianapolis that they would be knocked off

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • Close · 75Chris BrockmanPower Rankings2024 season

    Eagles are the best team in the NFL

    a naive guess scored 100-34.75 skillsaid Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 90Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 67.38+37.28 skillsaid Oct 15, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 89Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Here is our full set of rankings coming out of the fifth week of action: NFL Week 6 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 67.38+37.2 skillsaid Oct 8, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 85Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    NFL Week 5 Power Rankings: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 67.38+31.74 skillsaid Oct 1, 2024the article →
  • Close · 74Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    NFL Week 3 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 67.38+13.09 skillsaid Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Close · 72Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 67.19+10.03 skillsaid Sep 10, 2024the article →
  • Close · 72Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    NFL Week 1 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 67.38+8.36 skillsaid Sep 3, 2024the article →
  • Close · 71Marcus MosherPower Rankings2024 season

    Today, we are ranking all 32 teams from 1 to 32 heading into the preseason.

    a naive guess scored 67.38+7.33 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 83Ryan ReynoldsPower Rankings2023 season

    NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. San Francisco 49ers ... 32. Arizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 70.88+23.25 skillsaid Sep 12, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2021 season

    Prediction: Fourth Place (Bengals); Prediction: Third Place (Steelers); Prediction: Second Place (Wild-Card) (Ravens); Prediction: Division Winner (Browns)

    a naive guess scored 40-80 skillsaid Sep 6, 2021
  • Hit · 90The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    NFC North: Green Bay Packers *, Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+80 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Hit · 90The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    AFC East: Buffalo Bills *, New England Patriots, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+80 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Close · 60The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    AFC South: Houston Texans *, Tennessee Titans *, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 50+20 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Miss · 30The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    NFC West: San Francisco 49ers *, Seattle Seahawks *, Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50-40 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Hit · 90The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    AFC North: Baltimore Ravens *, Pittsburgh Steelers *, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+80 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Miss · 25The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    NFC East: Dallas Cowboys *, Philadelphia Eagles *, Washington Football Team, New York Giants

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Close · 60The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs *, Denver Broncos *, Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+20 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020
  • Hit · 90The Draft NetworkPower Rankings2020 season

    NFC South: New Orleans Saints *, Tampa Bay Buccaneers *, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+80 skillsaid Aug 27, 2020

By topic

NFL — power rankings (162 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.