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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
13% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
249 / 1,947
graded
1,698 still pending
By season
26–50 of 1,947
Brandon Aiyuk to move — “expected to be released by the 49ers soon”
Aiyuk is forcing the 49ers to either pay him or release him, and they’re expected to release him soon.
Dallas Goedert to move — “won't be back on a third straight one-year deal”
Come on, the odds are he won’t be back on a third straight one-year deal, so why shouldn’t Stowers cut into that kind of workload?
Deshaun Watson to move — “likely leaving this offseason”
Quarterback Deshaun Watson is likely leaving this offseason, so the Browns will have much more flexibility in offering a free agent like Nelson a nice contract.
Quenton Nelson to move — “the two sides could call the deal a wash and part ways this offseason / he could enter the open market”
If the Seahawks keep slipping down the NFC West standings, all while Nelson remains injured for the next couple of weeks, the two sides could call the deal a wash and part ways this offseason... he could enter the open market.
Brandon Aiyuk to move to Los Angeles Rams
While the process is being dragged out by the San Francisco 49ers, the Rams could also look to sign Brandon Aiyuk. ... It’s likely at that point the Rams would consider signing Aiyuk.
Jonathan Taylor to stay put
Here are the 10 biggest names that did not change teams at the trade deadline but who could be on the move in the offseason. ... They reportedly turned down offers that included second-round picks and more, so it will probably take at least a first-rounder to pry him away next spring or summer.
Khalil Mack to move — “prime candidate to walk in free agency”
Mack is a prime candidate to walk in free agency since he is in the latter stages of his career and would thus be more likely to seek a home on a contending squad rather than a bottom-dweller like Los Angeles.
George Pickens to move — “may seek a lucrative multi-year deal elsewhere”
Pickens is worthy of a lucrative multi-year deal and may seek one elsewhere if Jones is hesitant again.
Calvin Ridley to move — “move on from him at the start of the next league year”
that decrease in liability should free things up on the books enough to move on from him at the start of the next league year.
Brandon Aiyuk to move — “the San Francisco 49ers eventually cut him”
It wouldn’t be surprising if the Rams are interested in Brandon Aiyuk when the San Francisco 49ers eventually cut him.
Jalen Hurts to stay with Philadelphia Eagles
Given the needs the Eagles currently have and the likelihood that they stick with Jalen Hurts at QB...
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles
Deshaun Watson to stay with Cleveland Browns
the team seemingly wants to keep its options open with Watson, just in case.
Brandon Aiyuk to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
They wouldn't need to sign him to their active roster, but instead to their practice squad... Maybe the Steelers really will land Brandon Aiyuk after all.
Tyreek Hill to move to Kansas City Chiefs
It's certainly not out of the question that Hill could be suiting up in a red and gold uniform sometime in December.
Joey Porter Jr. to move — “this will be a rental situation”
Unless Jerry Jones re-signs Porter in the offseason -- and that seems like a stretch given Porter's demands and Jones' typical unwillingness to pay a premium to keep free agents -- this will be a rental situation.
Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis did decide to retain three-time Pro Bowl running back Jonathan Taylor, which may make sense given he is 27 years old — young enough to be a major contributor for a rebuilt Colts offense through the 2028 season.
J.J. McCarthy to move — “flip McCarthy to a quarterback-needy team next winter”
the Giants could be in a position next winter, when the trading period opens up again, to flip McCarthy to a quarterback-needy team that's not happy with the way the current college crop at the position is taking shape.
Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts
Those are the reasons why Taylor won't be relocating at the 2026 NFL trade deadline on Tuesday afternoon.
Josh Allen to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are Bills quarterback Josh Allen...
Joe Burrow to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are ... Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow...
Brock Purdy to move — “probably wouldn't be traded”
...and probably 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy.
Caleb Williams to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are ... Bears quarterback Caleb Williams...
Trevor Lawrence to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are ... Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence...
Jordan Love to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are ... Packers quarterback Jordan Love...
Patrick Mahomes to move — “wouldn't be traded”
The only players who currently wouldn't be traded, in our view, are ... Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes...