2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won15 EV · 49.7% · 2,816,636
Kamala Harris (Democratic)48.3% · 2,736,533
Jill Stein (Green)0.8% · 44,607
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)0.5% · 26,785
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 22,440
Cornel West (Independent)0.1% · 6,664

Donald Trump by 1.4 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · flipped · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Kamala Harris 9Donald Trump 5· 14 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Kamala Harris12 picks · lost
Donald Trump7 picks · won

Every claim about this race (21)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump: a three to four point Trump state in MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 84
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Isaac Saul: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Steve Deace: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Emily Jashinsky: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Francesca Fiorentini: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris: about a point and a half, two points or so in MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Pending
Steve Deace: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Isaac Saul: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Isaac Saul: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Bill Scher: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “it does look good for them”
Race Winners · Oct 24, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Miss · 0
Brent Buchanan: Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “right now, it looks like Michigan”
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take
Hit · 100